Stocks retain bearish trends ahead of ISM Services, crude inventories and RIOT premarket earnings — NYSE Open Market Radar 20261104

VIX — Market Fear Gauge Daily

VIX fell 0.62% from the session's opening level. VIX fell 1.56% versus the previous session close. Expected volatility eased from the period open. VIX is 65.3% up the recent 15-session range (14.98–23.93), in the 60–70% band.

VR: ATN Volatility Ratio (VR): 5.22 – Stocks rose while expected volatility eased. VR is in the lower part of its preceding 15-session VR range (-0.20 to 34.10), in the 10–20% band. VR fell 18.90 points from the previous session, a large shift relative to that range.

Range lookback: preceding 15 completed sessions.

Major ETFs and Mega Cap Tech Stocks

• Wall Street edged higher Wednesday after reversing sharp early losses following Democrats’ midterm gains.
• AI data-center stocks declined as renewable-energy stocks advanced following the election results.
• Nvidia rose as investors focused on strong AI earnings despite concerns about restrictions on data-center construction.
• AMD rallied after strong earnings, while SpaceX and Tesla fell more than 7.5% and 5.5%, respectively, in premarket trading amid regulatory and merger uncertainty.
• AWS recorded six consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue growth, while Microsoft reported 19% revenue growth and 48% Azure growth.
• Apple posted record revenue and continued generating strong free cash flow, alongside $89.7 billion in purchase obligations concentrated within a year.
• The S&P 500 finished October modestly lower and broke more sharply below its dividend-based mean trendline on the month’s final trading day.

ETF, Mag7, and Cross-Market ETF prior day Insights

Overall Tone
The November 3, 2026 daily session showed a cautiously positive risk tone from the open, with nine advances, six declines and one flat result, alongside broader gains versus the prior close.

Major index ETFs — prior day: 2026-11-03

Instrument	Bias	Date	DNC%	DOC%	O	H	L	C	VWAP	Vol
▲ SPY	▲ ▲ ▼	2026-11-03	▲ +0.30%	▲ +0.22%	752.73	757.07	752.39	754.35	▼ 754.66	32,026,688
▲ IJH	▲ ▲ ▼	2026-11-03	▲ +0.28%	▲ +0.20%	73.98	74.94	73.92	74.13	▼ 74.42	8,933,755
▲ QQQ	▲ ▲ ▼	2026-11-03	▲ +0.62%	▲ +0.13%	684.39	688.69	683.18	685.28	▼ 685.83	35,228,906
― DIA	▼ ― ▲	2026-11-03	▼ -0.44%	― 0.00%	517.06	518.38	515.19	517.06	▲ 517.02	2,958,245
▼ IWM	▲ ▼ ▼	2026-11-03	▲ +0.23%	▼ -0.02%	279.84	282.00	279.34	279.79	▼ 280.44	17,075,427
AVG/Sum	—	—	+0.20%	+0.11%	—	—	—	—	—	96,223,021

Index ETFs
Positive confluence: average DNC% +0.20% versus the prior close, DOC% +0.11% from the open. SPY led three open-to-close gainers, followed by IJH; DIA was flat and IWM nearly flat. QQQ led versus the prior close while DIA lagged; SPY and QQQ remained in near-term downtrends and below VWAP.

SPY · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +0.30% OC% ▲ +0.22%

SPY – S&P 500 Technicals Summary

SPY’s completed daily session on November 3 closed at 754.35, up 0.30% from the prior close and 0.22% from the open. The small opening gap up remained unfilled, but the inside bar kept the advance within the previous day’s range. A finish slightly below session VWAP also qualified the gain: price improved from the open without closing above the day’s traded average.

Near- and intermediate-term averages remained falling above price, while the far-term average continued rising below it. The setup therefore retained shorter- and intermediate-term weakness within an intact longer-term uptrend. The prior 15 sessions’ price trend was also downward. The latest below-average range and volume contrasted with expanding ranges and increasing activity across that lookback. PSAR and ATR-median stayed bearish. A next-session high above 771.1175 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

S&P 500 News and Fundamentals

The S&P 500 finished both September and October 2026 lower, with declines of less than 1% in each month. This marked only the 17th instance of consecutive September and October losses since 1950.

IJH · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +0.28% OC% ▲ +0.20%

IJH – Mid Cap Technicals Summary

IJH’s completed daily session on November 3 closed at 74.13, gaining 0.28% from the prior close and 0.20% from the open. A higher high and higher low gave the day an upward bias, but the close remained within the previous day’s range. It also finished below session VWAP, showing that the modest gain did not translate into a strong position relative to the day’s traded average.

Near- and far-term trends were rising, while the intermediate horizon remained mixed because price stood above a still-falling average. The prior 15 sessions’ upward price trend had involved substantial back-and-forth movement. This session’s above-average range and volume contrasted with contracting ranges and declining activity across that window. PSAR and ATR-median remained bullish despite the VWAP weakness. A next-session low below 72.8323 would conditionally trigger a bearish PSAR reversal.

QQQ · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +0.62% OC% ▲ +0.13%

QQQ – Nasdaq 100 Technicals Summary

QQQ’s completed daily session on November 3 rose 0.62% from the prior close to 685.28, but gained only 0.13% from the open. The opening gap up remained unfilled. An inside bar kept trading within the previous day’s range, while a close near the session low and slightly below VWAP tempered the positive return. The session showed limited additional progress after the opening uplift.

Near- and intermediate-term trends remained down, with price below falling averages. Price also remained below a rising far-term average, leaving the longer horizon mixed rather than fully bearish. The latest gain contrasted with the downward price trend over the prior 15 sessions. Range was about half average and volume was subdued, opposing that window’s expanding ranges and increasing activity. Both technical measures stayed bearish; a next-session high above 719.4976 would conditionally reverse PSAR upward.

Nasdaq 100 News and Fundamentals

The Nasdaq 100 entered a technical correction after falling more than 10% from its October highs, reaching its lowest level since July 31. A late-session reversal erased earlier gains as semiconductor shares fell sharply. The reported selloff reflected continuing investor concerns about the artificial-intelligence industry.

DIA · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▼ -0.44% OC% — 0.00%

DIA – Dow Jones Technicals Summary

DIA’s completed daily session on November 3 ended at 517.06, down 0.44% from the prior close but unchanged from its opening price. The opening gap down remained unfilled. Trading on both sides of the open produced no net intraday progress, and the close below the prior day’s low preserved the weaker daily structure. Its position just above session VWAP offered only a narrow counterpoint.

Price stayed below rising near- and intermediate-term averages, while the far-term uptrend remained intact. The prior 15 sessions also showed a slight upward price trend, but very little net progress relative to the intervening movement. Below-average range and volume matched that window’s contraction in ranges and declining activity. PSAR remained bearish and ATR-median registered a fresh bearish crossover. A next-session high above 524.1288 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

IWM · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +0.23% OC% ▼ -0.02%

IWM – Small Cap Technicals Summary

IWM’s completed daily session on November 3 gained 0.23% from the prior close to 279.79 but slipped 0.02% from the open. The unfilled opening gap up accounted for the positive daily return. An inside bar, a finish near the session low and a close below VWAP made the session less constructive than its prior-close gain alone suggested.

Price sat just below a rising near-term average, remained beneath a falling intermediate average, and was below an almost flat but rising far-term average. This mixed-to-weak structure contrasted with the upward price trend over the prior 15 sessions, which had delivered little efficient net progress. Below-average range and volume matched the lookback contraction in both measures. PSAR and ATR-median remained bullish, creating further disagreement with price positioning. A next-session low below 278.58 would conditionally reverse PSAR downward.

Mag7 stocks — prior day: 2026-11-03

Instrument	Bias	Date	DNC%	DOC%	O	H	L	C	VWAP	Vol
▲ MSFT	▲ ▲ ▲	2026-11-03	▲ +2.74%	▲ +2.35%	509.00	523.44	507.82	520.99	▲ 518.37	19,888,415
▲ AAPL	▼ ▲ ▲	2026-11-03	▼ -1.90%	▲ +1.94%	325.58	334.50	325.33	331.90	▲ 330.81	61,289,973
▲ META	▲ ▲ ▲	2026-11-03	▲ +2.36%	▲ +1.68%	610.76	624.84	610.10	621.03	▲ 619.51	13,595,327
▲ AMZN	▲ ▲ ▲	2026-11-03	▲ +2.06%	▲ +0.84%	248.59	252.45	245.88	250.69	▲ 249.61	37,418,750
▼ GOOGL	▲ ▼ ▲	2026-11-03	▲ +0.37%	▼ -0.07%	280.23	281.61	277.20	280.03	▲ 279.35	34,611,661
▼ NVDA	▲ ▼ ▼	2026-11-03	▲ +2.29%	▼ -0.61%	207.96	209.14	205.93	206.69	▼ 207.57	90,056,464
▼ TSLA	▼ ▼ ▼	2026-11-03	▼ -1.32%	▼ -1.91%	406.25	406.50	396.53	398.50	▼ 399.82	26,238,911
AVG/Sum	—	—	+0.94%	+0.60%	—	—	—	—	—	283,099,501

Mag7 Stocks
Positive confluence: average DNC% +0.94% versus the prior close, DOC% +0.60% from the open. MSFT led four open-to-close gainers while TSLA lagged; MSFT also led versus the prior close, where AAPL was weakest despite gaining from the open. NVDA gained versus the prior close but fell from the open and closed below VWAP.

MSFT · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +2.74% OC% ▲ +2.35%

MSFT – Microsoft Technicals Summary

MSFT’s completed daily session on November 3 advanced 2.74% from the prior close to 520.99, with a 2.35% open-to-close gain. The opening gap up remained unfilled, and the close finished above session VWAP. Although the session covered a large range, it remained an inside bar, so the substantial recovery did not take price outside the previous day’s trading boundaries.

Price finished just above its rising intermediate-term average and remained well above its rising far-term average. The near-term average was still falling above price, preserving shorter-term weakness within the broader upward structure. The prior 15 sessions also retained a downward price trend. Above-average range matched that window’s expansion, but below-average volume contrasted with increasing lookback activity. PSAR and ATR-median remained bearish despite the rebound; a next-session high above 536.0222 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

Microsoft News and Fundamentals

Microsoft reported 48% Azure growth and guided to 49%–50% growth in the second fiscal quarter despite delayed third-party capacity and persistent supply constraints. Operating cash flow reached $58 billion, while conventional free cash flow fell to approximately $18.6 billion. The company disclosed $48.3 billion in component receivables and supplier-linked investments, underscoring capital requirements beyond headline capital expenditure. Microsoft is also offering buyouts to approximately 60,000 employees.

AAPL · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▼ -1.90% OC% ▲ +1.94%

AAPL – Apple Technicals Summary

AAPL’s completed daily session on November 3 closed at 331.90, down 1.90% from the prior close despite gaining 1.94% from the open. The rebound did not fill the opening gap down, and the close remained below the previous day’s low. Finishing above session VWAP nevertheless showed that the intraday recovery had some strength within an otherwise weaker daily structure.

Price remained below rising near- and intermediate-term averages, creating a conflict between current position and their upward direction, while the far-term uptrend stayed intact. The modest upward price trend over the prior 15 sessions had involved considerable back-and-forth movement. This session’s large range and above-average volume reinforced the lookback expansion in ranges and activity. PSAR remained bearish and the ATR-median measure crossed bearish; a next-session high above 349.3137 would conditionally trigger a PSAR bullish reversal.

Apple News and Fundamentals

Apple reported September-quarter revenue of $114.5 billion, up 12% year over year, with iPhone revenue rising 17.5% to $57.6 billion. It forecast holiday revenue growth of 7%–10% and gross margins of 45%–46%, citing higher memory costs and spending on its new Siri AI assistant. On November 3, Apple announced an upcoming AI-powered Health app offering personalized recommendations. Its annual filing also warned that unpredictable AI-agent behavior could threaten its business.

META · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +2.36% OC% ▲ +1.68%

META – Meta Platforms Technicals Summary

META’s completed daily session on November 3 rose 2.36% from the prior close to 621.03, including a 1.68% advance from the open. Its opening gap up remained unfilled, and a higher high and higher low accompanied a finish near the session high and above VWAP. The close nevertheless remained inside the previous day’s range, keeping the recovery contained within that broader daily span.

Near- and intermediate-term averages were still falling above price. The far-term average continued rising, but price remained below it, leaving that horizon mixed. The rebound therefore contrasted with the relatively directional decline over the prior 15 sessions. Range was below average, consistent with lookback contraction, while volume near half its average opposed the increasing activity trend. PSAR and ATR-median stayed bearish; a next-session high above 631.2076 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

Meta News and Fundamentals

Meta raised $15 billion in a five-part U.S. bond sale on November 3. Earlier reporting said it sought $20 billion–$25 billion across dollar- and euro-denominated debt as infrastructure and AI spending increased. Its third-quarter earnings highlighted Muse AI adoption, advertising revenue growth and rising infrastructure costs. Separately, a San Diego artist said a Meta crawler visited her website more than 550,000 times in 48 hours, exhausting its traffic allowance and effectively taking it offline.

AMZN · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +2.06% OC% ▲ +0.84%

AMZN – Amazon Technicals Summary

AMZN’s completed daily session on November 3 rose 2.06% from the prior close to 250.69, including a 0.84% gain from the open. The opening gap up remained unfilled, and the close finished above session VWAP. However, an inside bar kept the entire session within the previous day’s range, making this a contained rebound rather than a broader price breakout.

The advance lifted price above its falling near-term average, leaving that horizon mixed. The intermediate trend remained down, while price held above a slightly rising far-term average. Those conflicting horizons fit a recovery within the prior 15 sessions’ declining price trend. Range was near average and volume below average, contrasting with expanding ranges and increasing volume across that lookback. PSAR turned bullish while ATR-median remained bearish; a next-session low below 230.5855 would conditionally reverse PSAR downward.

Amazon News and Fundamentals

Amazon reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $201.94 billion, a 13.9% operating margin and 61% year-over-year operating income growth. AWS revenue rose 39.3% to $45.98 billion, with backlog reaching $578 billion; management forecast AWS growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. A November 3 notice disclosed approximately 95 Washington state job cuts, which Amazon said belonged to previously announced retail layoffs rather than a new round.

GOOGL · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +0.37% OC% ▼ -0.07%

GOOGL – Alphabet Technicals Summary

GOOGL’s completed daily session on November 3 closed at 280.03, up 0.37% from the prior close but down 0.07% from the open. Thus, the daily gain reflected the opening uplift rather than sustained open-to-close progress. The gap was filled, and trading produced a lower high and lower low, although the close stayed within the previous day’s range and above session VWAP.

The small advance contrasted with aligned near-, intermediate- and far-term downtrends. Price remained below falling averages across all three horizons, consistent with the relatively directional decline over the prior 15 sessions. The latest range was substantially below average, matching the lookback contraction, while below-average volume ran against its increasing volume trend. PSAR and ATR-median remained bearish. A next-session high above 302.2563 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal, not establish a reversal in the broader trends.

NVDA · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +2.29% OC% ▼ -0.61%

NVDA – Nvidia Technicals Summary

NVDA’s completed daily session on November 3 closed at 206.69, up 2.29% from the prior close but down 0.61% from the open. The positive daily return therefore came from the opening gap up, which remained unfilled, rather than intraday appreciation. An inside bar and a finish near the session low and below VWAP added caution to the apparent strength of the headline gain.

Near- and intermediate-term trends remained down, with price below falling averages. The far-term average was still rising, but price stayed beneath it, leaving that horizon mixed. This positioning was consistent with the prior 15 sessions’ declining price trend. The latest range and volume were below average, contrary to expanding ranges and increasing activity across that window. PSAR and ATR-median retained bearish states. A next-session high above 218.1307 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

Nvidia News and Fundamentals

Nvidia is directing data-center partners to reduce work with Chinese customers, the Financial Times reported on November 3. The company is also targeting a 14-day AI-factory deployment timeline through its DSX POD modular design, aiming to shorten installation times. Its next earnings report is expected in approximately two weeks.

TSLA · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▼ -1.32% OC% ▼ -1.91%

TSLA – Tesla Technicals Summary

TSLA’s completed daily session on November 3 fell 1.32% from the prior close to 398.50 and lost 1.91% from the open. The opening gap up was filled, and the session formed a lower high and lower low. A finish near the session low and below VWAP emphasized intraday weakness, although the close remained within the previous day’s range rather than breaking below it.

The decline left price only slightly above its rising near-term average, while the intermediate uptrend remained intact. Price was also above a falling far-term average, leaving that longer horizon mixed. The latest loss therefore contrasted with the prior 15 sessions’ upward price trend. Range and volume were below average despite expanding ranges and increasing activity over that window. PSAR and ATR-median stayed bullish; a next-session low below 392.862 would conditionally trigger a bearish PSAR reversal.

Tesla News and Fundamentals

Tesla’s China-made electric-vehicle sales rose 10.3% year over year in October. Separately, a South Korean consumer group alleged that Tesla misled customers about its automated-driving technology.

Cross-market ETFs — prior day: 2026-11-03

Instrument	Bias	Date	DNC%	DOC%	O	H	L	C	VWAP	Vol
▲ IBIT	▲ ▲ ▲	2026-11-03	▲ +1.61%	▲ +1.10%	43.57	44.08	43.55	44.05	▲ 43.86	24,296,712
▲ USO	▲ ▲ ▲	2026-11-03	▲ +0.83%	▲ +0.46%	157.44	158.52	156.51	158.17	▲ 157.55	4,456,071
▼ TLT	▼ ▼ ▼	2026-11-03	▼ -0.76%	▼ -0.40%	81.44	81.45	80.97	81.11	▼ 81.17	28,930,620
▼ GLD	▼ ▼ ▼	2026-11-03	▼ -0.66%	▼ -0.57%	361.33	361.86	358.94	359.26	▼ 360.13	6,033,875
AVG/Sum	—	—	+0.26%	+0.15%	—	—	—	—	—	63,717,278

Cross-Market ETFs
Positive confluence: average DNC% +0.26% versus the prior close, DOC% +0.15% from the open. Bitcoin led oil higher on both comparisons, while gold and bonds declined, diverging from equities’ positive averages. Gold’s moving-average downtrends remained aligned; bitcoin retained near-term weakness despite its daily gain.

IBIT · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +1.61% OC% ▲ +1.10%

IBIT – Bitcoin Technicals Summary

IBIT’s completed daily session on November 3 advanced 1.61% from the prior close to 44.05, including a 1.10% gain from the open. The opening gap up remained unfilled, and the close finished near the session high and above VWAP. Nevertheless, the inside bar confined the recovery to the previous day’s range, limiting the change in the daily price structure.

The near-term trend remained down, and price was still below a rising intermediate-term average, leaving that horizon mixed. The far-term uptrend remained intact, so the latest rebound occurred within shorter-term weakness rather than full trend alignment. Range and volume were both roughly three-fifths of average. The narrow range matched the prior 15 sessions’ contraction, but subdued volume contrasted with increasing lookback activity. Both technical measures stayed bearish; a next-session high above 46.5537 would conditionally reverse PSAR upward.

USO · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▲ +0.83% OC% ▲ +0.46%

USO – Oil Technicals Summary

USO’s completed daily session on November 3 advanced 0.83% from the prior close to 158.17, including a 0.46% gain from the open. The opening gap up was filled before the close finished near the session high and above VWAP. Still, an inside bar kept the recovery within the previous day’s range, making the session a contained advance rather than a change in the broader daily boundaries.

Price remained below a rising near-term average, leaving that horizon mixed, while intermediate- and far-term uptrends stayed intact. The prior 15 sessions also showed an upward price trend, though with considerable back-and-forth movement. Range was less than half average, consistent with lookback contraction, while below-average volume contrasted with increasing activity. Signals diverged as PSAR turned bearish while ATR-median remained bullish. A next-session high above 171.0165 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

Oil News and Fundamentals

Crude futures fell approximately 1% to below $96 a barrel on November 3. Oil later traded lower in early Asian trading as U.S. midterm election results unfolded. ANZ Research attributed price volatility to conflicting signals about progress in U.S.-Iran peace talks. Wednesday’s EIA report was identified as an upcoming catalyst amid uncertainty over physical oil supply.

TLT · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▼ -0.76% OC% ▼ -0.40%

TLT – Long-Term Treasury Bonds Technicals Summary

TLT’s completed daily session on November 3 declined 0.76% from the prior close to 81.11, including a 0.40% loss from the open. The opening gap down remained unfilled. A lower high and lower low, followed by a close below the previous day’s low and below session VWAP, gave the session a weaker structure than the recent upward price trend would suggest.

Price slipped below its rising near-term average, leaving that horizon mixed, but remained above the rising intermediate-term average. The far-term trend was still down, with its falling average above price. The latest decline thus interrupted the prior 15 sessions’ advance without resolving the conflict between intermediate strength and longer-term weakness. Below-average range and volume matched the lookback contraction in both. PSAR and ATR-median remained bullish; a next-session low below 80.9388 would conditionally reverse PSAR downward.

GLD · D:2026-11-03 NC% ▼ -0.66% OC% ▼ -0.57%

GLD – Gold Technicals Summary

GLD’s completed daily session on November 3 fell 0.66% from the prior close to 359.26, with a 0.57% open-to-close decline. The small opening gap down was filled, but that recovery did not persist. A lower high and lower low, followed by a close below the previous day’s low and below session VWAP, kept the day’s price action aligned with the broader weakness.

Near-, intermediate- and far-term trends were all declining, with price below their falling averages. That agreement also matched the downward price trend over the prior 15 sessions. The latest range and volume were below average, however, contrasting with expanding ranges and increasing activity across the lookback. The close remained only modestly above the annual low. Both PSAR and ATR-median retained bearish states; a next-session high above 369.2803 would conditionally trigger a bullish PSAR reversal.

Gold News and Fundamentals

Central banks accelerated gold purchases in the third quarter to their fastest pace since late 2024, according to the World Gold Council, which cited geopolitical risks and fiscal-discipline concerns. Central-bank buying surged 42%, while overall demand remained near record highs. Higher interest rates and elevated bond yields remained headwinds. Gold recorded its worst October since 2008, and Friday’s U.S. jobs report was identified as an upcoming catalyst.

Glossary: Instrument — ticker symbol; hover for the instrument or company name; Date — session date. DNC% — prior-session close to this session’s close; DOC% — daily session open-to-close percentage change. O — open; H — high; L — low; C — close, all for the table’s daily or weekly session; VWAP — volume-weighted average price; its arrow shows whether the close is above or below VWAP. Vol — period trading volume.

Bias — three directional readings, in order: DNC%, DOC%, then VWAP. ▲ positive/above; ▼ negative/below; — neutral or unavailable. Matching arrows show alignment; opposing arrows show mixed conditions. AVG/Sum — simple average of percentage changes and sum of reported volumes.

Futures Session Fib Grid Analysis – Snapshot

Session Fib Grids normalise market positioning as percentages, making direction and alignment comparable across different asset types.

Latest available snapshot for each instrument; Time(CT) shows the individual update date and time.

Glossary: YSFG — yearly; MSFG — monthly; WSFG — weekly; RSFG — regular trading hours (RTH); SFG — the current session, including pre-market or other sessions. TSI indicates trend strength and power.

Bias shows trend alignment across these six readings. The arrows follow the column order: YSFG, MSFG, WSFG, RSFG, SFG and TSI. Matching arrows show alignment; opposing arrows show mixed conditions.

Futures Higher Time Frame Analysis

Summary of the current state of US Indices Futures based on higher time-frame (HTF) technical analysis as of: 2026-11-04 07:16 -06:00 CT.

US Indices Futures

• ES above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers, below 5–100-day benchmarks, daily pivots down, support 7490, reversal threshold 7673.50, resistance 7906.25.
• NQ above YSFG center, below MSFG/WSFG centers and 5–100-day benchmarks, daily pivots down, support 27500.75–27615.75, reversal threshold 28830.75.
• YM above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers, declining 5–55-day benchmarks, daily pivots down, support 51444, reversal threshold 52718, resistance 53168.
• EMD above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers, above most daily benchmarks but below 100-day, daily pivots up, support 3600.3, resistance 3763.8–3793.9.
• RTY above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers, below declining 55/100-day benchmarks, daily pivots up, support 2725.3, reversal reference 2793.2, resistance 2880.2–2888.9.
• FDAX above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers and all daily/weekly benchmarks, pivots up, daily reversal reference 25815, weekly support 24909–24925, resistance 26844–26847.

Overall State

• Short-Term: Neutral
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral
• Long-Term: Bullish

Conclusion

Daily directional alignment is split: ES, NQ, and YM retain downward short-term pivots, while EMD, RTY, and FDAX have upward daily pivots. FDAX leads benchmark alignment; NQ lags below MSFG/WSFG centers with its 200-day benchmark under test. EMD and RTY rebounds remain below their declining 100-day benchmarks. Weekly intermediate HiLo uptrends and YSFG positioning preserve the broader upward context, although NQ retains bearish intermediate conditions. Recent NQ MSFG and FDAX monthly short signals contrast with their longer-term upward structures. Swing resistance remains at ES 7906.25, YM 55316, EMD 3969.6, RTY 3101.8, and FDAX 26844–26847; NQ support is 27500.75–27615.75.

Note: Intra-day counter-trend pullbacks or retracements may occur, HTF is context for informational usage and market structure. Glossary: Session Fib Grids periods of YSFG:’Yearly’, MSFG:’Monthly’, WSFG:’Weekly’

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