The 10-year Treasury benchmark fell 11 basis points in the final two sessions of October, from 5.05% to 4.94%. Monday’s trading extended the relief. For Washington, businesses and mortgage borrowers, the direction matters—but credit spreads will determine how much of that relief reaches the real economy. AI-generated conceptual illustration: Treasury borrowing costs connect … [Read more...] about Treasury Yields Retreat: Relief for Borrowers, but Watch the Credit Spreads
Stocks mixed, Tech weak ahead of Apple earnings after Monday’s close — Market Radar 20261102
Stocks are mixed, with Nasdaq weakness ahead of Apple's earnings after Monday's close; no economic events remain today. JOLTS and elections are tomorrow. Fundamentals: Stocks face mixed technology signals ahead of Apple's earnings after Monday's close, with no economic events remaining on today's supplied calendar. Tomorrow, Tuesday, brings JOLTS at 10:00 … [Read more...] about Stocks mixed, Tech weak ahead of Apple earnings after Monday’s close — Market Radar 20261102
Stocks Diverge: S&P 500 Weekly and Tech Daily Near-Term Trends Are Bearish — HTF Technicals 20261102
S&P 500 weekly near-term ratings are bearish; Nasdaq daily ratings are bearish short to medium term. Gold is bearish across all daily horizons. Technicals: S&P 500 futures are bearish near term on the weekly chart but bullish at longer horizons. Nasdaq 100 futures are bearish near and medium term on the daily chart, while Russell 2000 futures are bullish across weekly … [Read more...] about Stocks Diverge: S&P 500 Weekly and Tech Daily Near-Term Trends Are Bearish — HTF Technicals 20261102
QQQ at a Turning Point: Can Apple Earnings Restart the Tech Rally?
Apple faces a roughly $113.4 billion revenue hurdle and a $1.99 earnings-per-share benchmark. For QQQ, the bigger question is whether its holiday outlook can restore confidence after the technology selloff—or expose how much optimism remains in the price. Apple can give the Nasdaq-100 a powerful earnings catalyst. It cannot, by itself, settle the sector’s concerns about … [Read more...] about QQQ at a Turning Point: Can Apple Earnings Restart the Tech Rally?
Midterm Blues or Midterm News? Trump’s Record by the Numbers
On the eve of the November 3 midterm elections, Donald Trump’s record deserves a harder test than either campaign applause or hostile headlines: what improved, what deteriorated, who benefited, and what did it cost? There are achievements supporters can defend and weaknesses critics can document. But approval ratings, military operations and tax announcements measure different … [Read more...] about Midterm Blues or Midterm News? Trump’s Record by the Numbers
September Personal Income and Spending: Consumer Resilience Meets a Purchasing-Power Squeeze
Household income and spending are the beating heart of the U.S. economy. On the per capita comparisons used in this analysis, personal income is equivalent to about 85% of GDP, disposable income to 74%, and consumption to 68%. When purchasing power weakens, the consequences run through household budgets, company sales and market earnings expectations. September exposes a … [Read more...] about September Personal Income and Spending: Consumer Resilience Meets a Purchasing-Power Squeeze
Stocks Down, Tech Down, Oil Down, Gold Down, Bonds Up — Market Recap 2026-W44
Week beginning Monday, 2026-10-26: 4 of 9 ETFs advanced from the week's open and 5 declined. Strongest open-to-close performance: USO +1.61%; weakest: IBIT -3.98%. Markets finished the week divided as early equity gains gave way to technology-led selling. SPY fell 0.56% and QQQ lost 1.97%, while midcaps and small caps gained 1.33% and 1.30%, respectively. Scrutiny of AI … [Read more...] about Stocks Down, Tech Down, Oil Down, Gold Down, Bonds Up — Market Recap 2026-W44
Stocks Down, Tech Down, Oil Down, Gold Down, Bonds Down — Market Roundup 20261030
Friday, 2026-10-30: 9 declined. Strongest open-to-close performance: TLT -0.02%; weakest: GLD -1.57%. Stocks and tech fell Friday amid AI spending and financing concerns. Gold weakened, while oil and Treasury ETFs closed higher despite losses from the open. Fundamentals: Stocks declined Friday as concerns over AI spending, cash flow and financing weighed on Amazon, Alphabet and … [Read more...] about Stocks Down, Tech Down, Oil Down, Gold Down, Bonds Down — Market Roundup 20261030
Tech stays bearish; stocks consolidate ahead of ECI, Chicago PMI and Fed remarks — Market Radar 20261030
Friday’s ECI at 8:30 ET and Chicago PMI at 9:45 ET precede Fed remarks as Nasdaq futures stay bearish near support and S&P 500 futures consolidate. Fundamentals: Friday brings the Employment Cost Index at 8:30 ET, Chicago PMI at 9:45 ET and speeches from Fed officials Daly at 12:00 ET and Musalem at 12:30 ET. Nasdaq futures are lower after disappointing technology earnings, … [Read more...] about Tech stays bearish; stocks consolidate ahead of ECI, Chicago PMI and Fed remarks — Market Radar 20261030
Stocks Diverge Near Term on Daily Charts; Oil Bullish Across All Horizons — HTF Technicals 20261030
S&P 500 futures rate neutral and Nasdaq 100 bearish on daily near-term signals. Oil is bullish and gold bearish across all daily and weekly horizons. Technicals: S&P 500 futures rate neutral near term on daily charts and bearish on weekly charts; Nasdaq 100 futures are near-term bearish on both, while both retain bullish far-term ratings. Crude oil is bullish across all … [Read more...] about Stocks Diverge Near Term on Daily Charts; Oil Bullish Across All Horizons — HTF Technicals 20261030
Stocks Up, Tech Down, Oil Up, Gold Down, Bonds Up — Market Roundup 20261029
Thursday, 2026-10-29: 6 of 9 ETFs advanced from the open and 3 declined. Strongest open-to-close performance: USO +2.36%; weakest: QQQ -0.17%. After Thursday's data and Treasury auctions, stocks and tech fell ahead of Amazon and Intel earnings after the close; oil rose and gold slipped. Fundamentals: With Amazon and Intel due to report after Thursday's close, … [Read more...] about Stocks Up, Tech Down, Oil Up, Gold Down, Bonds Up — Market Roundup 20261029
Tech slips ahead of GDP/PCE, Treasury auctions and Amazon, Intel earnings after close — Market Radar 20261029
Nasdaq slips ahead of Thursday’s 8:30 ET GDP/PCE data, 11:30/13:00 ET Treasury auctions and Amazon and Intel earnings after the close; S&P 500 stays bullish. Fundamentals: Nasdaq futures weaken ahead of Thursday's 8:30 ET GDP, PCE inflation, jobless claims, personal income and spending data, with Amazon and Intel reporting after the close. Treasury auctions follow at … [Read more...] about Tech slips ahead of GDP/PCE, Treasury auctions and Amazon, Intel earnings after close — Market Radar 20261029
Stocks Bullish Across Daily and Weekly Horizons Despite Tech’s Daily medium-Term Weakness — HTF Technicals 20261029
S&P 500 futures are bullish across daily and weekly horizons; Nasdaq’s daily medium rating is bearish. Crude is bullish and silver is bearish. Technicals: S&P 500 futures rate bullish across all daily and weekly horizons, while Nasdaq 100 futures carry a bearish daily medium-term rating despite bullish short- and far-term readings. Crude oil is bullish across both … [Read more...] about Stocks Bullish Across Daily and Weekly Horizons Despite Tech’s Daily medium-Term Weakness — HTF Technicals 20261029
October Inflation Outlook: Cooling Fuel Prices, Wider Mortgage Spreads and a CPI Base-Effect Trap
October’s inflation signals are mixed. U.S. gasoline prices have eased from September’s monthly average, and daily mortgage rates have retreated from month-end levels. Yet diesel’s latest weekly increase and still-elevated borrowing costs argue against declaring that inflation pressure has disappeared. There is also an unusual complication for the next CPI report: missing … [Read more...] about October Inflation Outlook: Cooling Fuel Prices, Wider Mortgage Spreads and a CPI Base-Effect Trap
Stocks Up, Tech Up, Oil Up, Gold Up, Bonds Down — Market Roundup 20261028
Wednesday, 2026-10-28: 7 of 9 ETFs advanced from the open and 2 declined. Strongest open-to-close performance: IBIT +1.24%; weakest: TLT -0.90%. Stocks and tech edged higher ahead of Alphabet and Microsoft earnings after Wednesday's close; the Fed held rates steady and oil retained its opening gap. Fundamentals: Stocks and tech rose Wednesday ahead of Alphabet and Microsoft … [Read more...] about Stocks Up, Tech Up, Oil Up, Gold Up, Bonds Down — Market Roundup 20261028
Stocks cautious ahead of Fed, Treasury auctions; Alphabet and Microsoft report after close — Market Radar 20261028
Stocks cautious: 11:30 ET Treasury auctions, 14:00 ET Fed; Vertiv before open, Alphabet and Microsoft after close. Nasdaq rebounds remain countertrend. Fundamentals: Stocks face a cautious Wednesday ahead of Alphabet and Microsoft earnings after close, with AI spending under scrutiny; Vertiv is scheduled before open, with no results supplied. Today's ET agenda includes EIA … [Read more...] about Stocks cautious ahead of Fed, Treasury auctions; Alphabet and Microsoft report after close — Market Radar 20261028
Stocks Show Weekly Bullishness but Near-Term Daily Neutrality; Tech Daily Signals Diverge — HTF Technicals 20261028
S&P 500 futures are weekly bullish; Nasdaq is daily near-term bullish but medium-term bearish. Crude is fully bullish; silver is fully bearish. Technicals: S&P 500 futures are bullish across weekly horizons but near-term neutral on daily charts. Nasdaq 100 daily ratings are near-term bullish and medium-term bearish. Crude oil is bullish across daily and weekly horizons; … [Read more...] about Stocks Show Weekly Bullishness but Near-Term Daily Neutrality; Tech Daily Signals Diverge — HTF Technicals 20261028
Stocks Up, Tech Up, Oil Down, Gold Up, Bonds Down — Market Roundup 20261027
Tuesday, 2026-10-27: 7 of 9 ETFs advanced from the open and 2 declined. Strongest open-to-close performance: GLD +1.04%; weakest: USO -1.09%. Stocks and tech rose Tuesday amid growth data and Treasury auctions; Alphabet and Microsoft report tomorrow, Wednesday. Oil fell, gold gained. Fundamentals: Stocks and tech rose Tuesday as durable goods orders increased 1.8% at 8:30 a.m. … [Read more...] about Stocks Up, Tech Up, Oil Down, Gold Up, Bonds Down — Market Roundup 20261027
Stock futures rise ahead of durable goods, consumer confidence and $70B note auction — Market Radar 20261027
U.S. stock futures rise before Tuesday’s durable goods at 08:30 ET, confidence at 10:00 ET and $70B note auction at 13:00 ET; tech stays bearish near term. Fundamentals: U.S. stock futures rise as Tuesday brings durable goods at 08:30 ET, housing prices at 09:00 ET, consumer confidence and new home sales at 10:00 ET, bill auctions at 11:30 ET and a $70B five-year note auction … [Read more...] about Stock futures rise ahead of durable goods, consumer confidence and $70B note auction — Market Radar 20261027
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Show Mixed Daily Ratings While Dow Remains Bullish — HTF Technicals 20261027
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures have bearish short- and medium-term daily ratings; crude is bullish across horizons, while gold and silver are bearish. Technicals: S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures have bearish short- and medium-term daily ratings but bullish far-term ratings, while Dow futures are bullish across all daily horizons. Crude oil is bullish across daily and weekly … [Read more...] about S&P 500 and Nasdaq Show Mixed Daily Ratings While Dow Remains Bullish — HTF Technicals 20261027