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Stocks Up, Tech Up, Oil Down, Gold Up, Bonds Up — NYSE Close Market Roundup 20261104

2026-11-04 by EcoFin

Daily ETF performance for 2026-11-04: open-to-close percentage changes across major stock indexes, oil, gold, Treasury bonds and bitcoin.
Wednesday, 2026-11-04: 6 of 9 ETFs advanced from the open and 3 declined. Strongest open-to-close performance: IBIT +2.44%; weakest: USO -5.10%.

Stocks and tech gained in the November 4 session, but Nasdaq trends stayed bearish. Oil slid 5.10%, while gold and far-term Treasury ETFs advanced.

Fundamentals: U.S. stocks closed higher Wednesday as reduced election uncertainty and congressional gridlock bets supported the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Major cloud providers advanced, but semiconductor shares faced pressure from data-center restrictions and cost concerns. Oil fell sharply, hurting energy stocks while lower fuel prices supported airlines. Gold and bonds also rose.

Technicals: Stocks and tech advanced in the completed November 4 session: the S&P 500 ETF rose 0.50% from the open and the Nasdaq-100 ETF gained 0.51%, though Nasdaq near- and medium-term trends remained bearish. Apple and Microsoft rose more than 2% from their opens. The oil ETF fell 5.10%, while gold and far-term Treasury ETFs gained 0.79% and 0.48%. Tesla rose 1.42% from its open but finished 3.34% below its prior close.

After Market Close daily snapshot: market news summary and sentiment, major ETFs, Magnificent 7 analysis, Indices Futures Higher Time Frame Analysis, and E-mini S&P500, Nasdaq 100, NYMEX Crude, Gold Futures Daily Chart analysis.

As of: November 4, 2026 05:00 CT


Earnings Radar Day Recap

Monitoring for earnings releases by the Magnificent 7, AI-tech-related firms, and major financial institutions.

Monitored earnings releases
Date/DayImpactCompany / SymbolTimeEPSRevenue
2026-11-04 – WednesdayMediumRiot Platforms (RIOT)Before open
Actual:▲ 0.01
Est:-0.32
Actual:▲ 181,430,000.00
Est:163,961,542.00

For full details visit: Yahoo Earnings Calendar


EcoNews Radar U.S. Events Day Recap

EcoNews US Events · Times ET
DateImpactEvent, Prev, Forecast, ActualInfo
2026-11-04
Wednesday
10:00
MediumISM Services PMI
Prev: 54.9
Forecast: 54.9
Actual: —
Surveys service-sector business activity, including demand, employment and prices; traders monitor it for signals about economic momentum, inflation pressures and interest-rate expectations.
2026-11-04
Wednesday
10:30
HighCrude Oil Inventories
Prev: -1.9M
Forecast: —
Actual: —
Measures the weekly change in U.S. commercial crude stockpiles; traders watch it for oil supply-demand signals that can influence energy shares and broader inflation expectations.

Summary: The calendar focuses on U.S. service-sector conditions and oil supply balances.

Conclusion: Both releases were scheduled for the morning, ahead of this report’s publication.


Market News Summary:

U.S. equities rallied after Democrats won both chambers of Congress, while falling oil prices and divergent AI-related stock performance shaped the session.

Primary Drivers & Risks:

  • Primary Driver: Post-election certainty and congressional gridlock bets
  • Primary Risk: Data-center restrictions and semiconductor weakness

Tone:

Broadly positive, with pronounced technology and energy-sector divergences.


Data, Market and System

Geopolitical:

  • The oil selloff was linked to a reassessment of U.S. policy toward Iran following the Democratic election sweep.

Oil / Energy:

  • Oil fell sharply Wednesday, putting prices on track for their largest weekly decline since 2020.
  • Energy stocks declined amid the election outcome and backlash against AI data-center development.
  • Lower fuel prices supported airline shares, with JetBlue gaining 14% and American Airlines and Delta each rising 7%.

Macro / Other:

  • Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, creating divided government under President Trump.
  • Some election winners campaigned on data-center moratoriums and stricter regulation, including promises to pause development in Texas.
  • Data-center coverage emphasized project delays, relocations and increased expenses rather than a large decline in aggregate U.S. spending.
  • Concerns over AI capital spending and corporate balance sheets accompanied rising correlations within technology stocks, while the broader market outside technology remained relatively insulated.

Conclusion:

Reduced election uncertainty and congressional gridlock bets drove the broad equity rally. Falling oil prices provided additional support to major indices and fuel-sensitive stocks.

Semiconductor weakness contrasted with gains in major cloud providers as data-center restrictions became a central policy risk. Energy losses and uneven technology participation complicated the positive index-level picture.


Market News Sentiment

Sentiment Bias shows the balance of positive and negative news coverage sampled from 2026-11-03 16:09 to 2026-11-04 15:47 ET, covering stocks, energy and gold.

▲ Market news

Bias
▲ +2.31%
Articles
216
Positive
▲ 28.70%
Neutral
— 44.91%
Negative
▼ 26.39%

Sentiment Summary: Coverage was predominantly neutral (45%), with positive sentiment (29%) narrowly exceeding negative (26%), as November 4 reporting linked a mega-cap rebound to reduced uncertainty after Democrats won Congress in the November 3 midterms. Amazon, Microsoft and Apple rose sharply after overnight futures losses, while concerns about tighter data-center oversight weighed on Nvidia, AI infrastructure and energy shares, countering the rally alongside persistent AI spending and cash-flow concerns. November 4 releases showed October ADP payroll gains of 86,000 and continued services expansion, although ISM activity slowed to 54.5.

Conclusion: The main context is a post-election rebound with substantial sector divergence, rather than uniformly positive sentiment.

▲ GLD / Gold

Bias
▲ +9.52%
Articles
21
Positive
▲ 38.10%
Neutral
— 33.33%
Negative
▼ 28.57%

Sentiment Summary: Gold coverage leaned modestly positive (38% positive versus 29% negative), as November 4 reports linked Democratic midterm victories to a weaker dollar, lower Treasury yields and gold’s recovery above $4,000; stocks also reportedly rallied. This reversed November 3 pressure from stronger U.S. labor and factory-orders data that lifted yields. The counterweight was November 4’s stronger-than-expected ADP gain of 86,000 October jobs and expanding October services activity, alongside persistent inflation and technical damage from the October 30 selloff.

Conclusion: Friday, November 6’s U.S. jobs report remains the next reported macro catalyst for the rates-sensitive market backdrop.

▼ USO / Oil

Bias
▼ -33.33%
Articles
21
Positive
▲ 19.05%
Neutral
— 28.57%
Negative
▼ 52.38%

Sentiment Summary: Oil coverage was 52% negative versus 19% positive as November 4 reporting linked crude’s decline of more than 4% to Iran peace-talk hopes, post-midterm policy expectations, recovering exports and weak demand. After an overnight rise, oil fell below $90, while U.S. stocks advanced on reported gridlock expectations and lower fuel costs, with airlines leading gains. The counterweight was the EIA’s reported fifth consecutive weekly crude draw, alongside distillate inventories at their lowest in over two decades and continuing Hormuz disruption risks.

Conclusion: Equity strength coincided with oil weakness, but refined-product tightness remained a distinct energy-market risk.

Glossary: Sentiment Bias = (positive articles − negative articles) ÷ total articles × 100. It ranges from −100% negative to +100% positive. A reading near zero indicates little directional bias. Neutral articles reduce the score’s strength. ▲ positive; ▼ negative; — balanced. These readings describe news coverage, not market-price direction.


Market Technical Analysis

Analysis of VIX volatility, the completed session in major ETFs and mega-cap tech stocks, and futures snapshots and higher-time-frame analysis.


VIX — Market Fear Gauge Daily

Session 2026-11-04
LevelOpenHighMaxVixLowMinVixDNC%DOC%VRMaxVRMinVR
16.5817.7718.3023.9316.5814.98-20.40%-6.70%12.3524.11-0.20

VIX fell 6.70% from the session's opening level. VIX fell 20.40% versus the previous session close. Expected volatility eased from the period open. VIX is 17.9% up the recent 15-session range (14.98–23.93), in the 10–20% band.

VR: ATN Volatility Ratio (VR): 12.35 – Stocks rose while expected volatility eased. VR is around the middle of its preceding 15-session VR range (-0.20 to 24.11), in the 50–60% band. VR rose 7.30 points from the previous session, a large shift relative to that range.

Range lookback: preceding 15 completed sessions.


Major ETFs and Mega Cap Tech Stocks

  • The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied as investors responded to congressional gridlock bets and lower oil prices.
  • SPY opened 1.15% higher, its second-largest post-midterm opening gain since it began trading in 1993.
  • Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft and Apple advanced after the election results reduced investor uncertainty.
  • Microsoft and Amazon added a combined $400 billion in market capitalization, with cloud-supply constraints cited as support for pricing power.
  • Nvidia fell about 1.5% around 1:38 p.m. as semiconductor and data-center stocks faced concerns over construction restrictions and higher costs.
  • AMD’s forecast exceeded estimates despite broader pressure on semiconductor shares.
  • Lucid rose 12% and Rivian gained 6%, while Tesla declined 3% in a split post-election EV session.
  • A separate market assessment highlighted deeply oversold S&P 500 conditions alongside overbought readings for nearly half its constituents.

ETF, Mag7, and Cross-Market ETF Insights

Overall Tone
On November 4, 2026, most assets gained from the open, suggesting a broadly positive daily risk tone, although participation was uneven.

Major index ETFs Daily open-to-close percentage changes
Major index ETFs — daily
InstrumentBiasDateDNC%DOC%OHLCVWAPVol
▲ DIA▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04▲ +3.10%▲ +1.00%527.81534.28527.02533.11▲ 530.736,456,248
▲ QQQ▲ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▲ +0.97%▲ +0.51%688.43701.45687.87691.95▼ 694.3161,970,272
▲ SPY▲ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▲ +1.65%▲ +0.50%762.99775.64762.64766.81▼ 766.8460,945,733
▼ IWM▲ ▼ ▲2026-11-04▲ +1.51%▼ -0.05%284.17286.17281.31284.02▲ 283.7834,658,989
▼ IJH▲ ▼ ▲2026-11-04▲ +0.62%▼ -0.56%75.0175.1873.8174.59▲ 74.417,425,598
AVG/Sum——+1.57%+0.28%—————171,456,840

Index ETFs
Positive confluence: average DNC% +1.57% versus the prior close, DOC% +0.28% from the open. Three of five index ETFs rose from the open, led by DIA; IJH lagged and IWM was near-flat. All gained versus the prior close, again led by DIA, whose moving-average uptrends aligned, while QQQ retained near- and intermediate-term downtrends.

DIA · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +3.10% OC% ▲ +1.00%

DIA daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
DIA · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

DIA – Dow Jones Technicals Summary

DIA’s completed November 4 daily session closed at 533.11, advancing 3.10% from the prior close and 1.00% from the open. The opening gap remained unfilled, and the session produced a higher high, higher low and close above the previous day’s high. Price finished above VWAP, reinforcing the positive daily structure rather than merely preserving an opening gain.

Near-, intermediate- and far-term averages were all rising beneath price, giving the advance broad trend alignment. The separate 15-session price trend was marginally negative with very little net directional progress, so the latest strength contrasts with a previously indecisive window. Range expanded to about 1.6 times average and volume was nearly twice average, reversing the lookback tendencies toward narrower ranges and declining activity. PSAR was long; a next-session low below 515.01 would trigger a conditional sell/short reversal.

QQQ · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +0.97% OC% ▲ +0.51%

QQQ daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
QQQ · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

QQQ – Nasdaq 100 Technicals Summary

QQQ finished the completed November 4 daily session at 691.95, gaining 0.97% from the prior close and 0.51% from the open. Its modest opening gap remained unfilled, and trading produced a higher high, higher low and close above the previous day’s high. The prior inside-bar high was also breached. However, the finish below VWAP qualified the positive session rather than showing uniformly strong intraday positioning.

The advance ran against near- and intermediate-term downtrends and a negative 15-session price trend. Farther out, price remained below a rising average, leaving the far-term structure mixed. The session’s above-average range and volume contrasted with lookback trends of contracting ranges and decreasing activity, marking a change in daily intensity rather than established trend alignment. PSAR and ATR-median remained bearish. A next-session high above 715.5808 would conditionally trigger a PSAR buy/long reversal.

SPY · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +1.65% OC% ▲ +0.50%

SPY daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
SPY · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

SPY – S&P 500 Technicals Summary

SPY’s completed November 4 daily session closed at 766.81, up 1.65% from the prior close and 0.50% from the open. An unfilled opening gap accounted for much of the gain, followed by a higher high, higher low and finish above the previous day’s high. The close was almost exactly at VWAP, though marginally below it, making that relationship more neutral than the positive daily return alone suggests.

The far-term uptrend remained intact, but shorter horizons conflicted. Price was above a falling near-term average and just below a declining intermediate-term average, while the 15-session price trend stayed negative. Range was roughly 1.8 times average and volume was elevated, opposing the lookback pattern of contraction and declining activity. PSAR was long despite a bearish ATR-median backdrop. A next-session low below 750.36 would trigger a conditional PSAR sell/short reversal.

S&P 500 News and Fundamentals

S&P 500 futures fell 102 points early on November 4 following Democratic victories in the U.S. midterm elections. Separately, Goldman Sachs characterized conditions within the index as a hidden bear market, even as the S&P 500 remained near a record high. Goldman Sachs research also forecast slower earnings growth for the index in 2027.

IWM · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +1.51% OC% ▼ -0.05%

IWM daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
IWM · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

IWM – Small Cap Technicals Summary

IWM ended the November 4 daily session at 284.02, gaining 1.51% from the prior close while slipping 0.05% from the open. The gain was therefore attributable to an unfilled opening gap, with little net progress afterward. Nevertheless, the session made a higher high and higher low, breached the prior inside-bar high and closed above the previous day’s high, slightly above VWAP.

The near-term uptrend agreed with the positive but choppy 15-session price trend. Alignment weakened farther out: price was above a falling intermediate-term average and just below a nearly flat, rising far-term average. Range and volume were both above average, opposing lookback trends toward contraction and declining activity. Thus, the latest participation was stronger than the preceding pattern without resolving the mixed longer horizons. A next-session low below 279.34 would trigger a conditional PSAR sell/short reversal.

IJH · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +0.62% OC% ▼ -0.56%

IJH daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
IJH · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

IJH – Mid Cap Technicals Summary

IJH’s completed November 4 daily session finished at 74.59, up 0.62% from the prior close despite losing 0.56% from the open. The opening gap was filled, and an outside bar ended inside the previous day’s range. This distinguishes the positive daily return from the weaker open-to-close performance. Even so, the close remained above VWAP rather than below the session’s volume-weighted price.

Near- and far-term uptrends remained intact, while the intermediate horizon was mixed because price stood above an average that was still declining. The 15-session price trend was positive but inefficient, consistent with considerable back-and-forth movement. The latest range was roughly 1.6 times average, interrupting a contracting lookback trend, while volume was essentially average despite a slight upward activity trend. PSAR and ATR-median were bullish; a next-session low below 73.3019 would conditionally reverse PSAR to sell/short.


Mag7 stocks Daily open-to-close percentage changes
Mag7 stocks — daily
InstrumentBiasDateDNC%DOC%OHLCVWAPVol
▲ AAPL▲ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▲ +5.31%▲ +2.33%341.56354.50340.99349.51▼ 351.0688,983,256
▲ MSFT▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04▲ +6.68%▲ +2.23%543.70559.15542.30555.80▲ 554.0950,731,891
▲ GOOGL▲ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▲ +3.18%▲ +1.91%283.51296.49283.40288.93▼ 290.8851,395,689
▲ TSLA▼ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▼ -3.34%▲ +1.42%379.80392.04375.50385.19▼ 385.3947,672,706
▲ AMZN▲ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▲ +6.12%▲ +0.46%264.81271.49263.85266.03▼ 267.8393,049,549
▼ NVDA▼ ▼ ▼2026-11-04▼ -3.17%▼ -1.66%203.50206.79199.68200.13▼ 202.58148,138,884
▼ META▲ ▼ ▼2026-11-04▲ +1.44%▼ -1.74%641.15643.09624.50630.00▼ 632.6032,247,627
AVG/Sum——+2.32%+0.71%—————512,219,602

Mag7 Stocks
Positive confluence: average DNC% +2.32% versus the prior close, DOC% +0.71% from the open. Five Mag7 stocks advanced from the open, led by Apple, while Meta lagged; Microsoft led versus the prior close, while Tesla and Nvidia declined. Apple’s moving-average uptrends aligned, but Meta fell from the open despite its prior-close gain.

AAPL · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +5.31% OC% ▲ +2.33%

AAPL daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
AAPL · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

AAPL – Apple Technicals Summary

AAPL’s completed daily session on November 4 closed at 349.51, gaining 5.31% from the prior close and 2.33% from the open. An unfilled opening gap was followed by further gains, with a higher high, higher low and finish above the previous day’s high. That advance fits the aligned near-, intermediate- and far-term uptrends, although the separate 15-session price trend remained slightly negative and showed limited directional efficiency.

The session’s range was roughly twice average and volume was about 1.9 times average, extending the lookback pattern of expanding ranges and increasing activity. However, the close remained below session VWAP, qualifying the otherwise strong daily finish. Price was also close to its 52-week high. PSAR was in a long state, but a next-session low below 325.33 would trigger a sell/short reversal; that remains conditional.

Apple News and Fundamentals

Apple has locked in purchase commitments with manufacturing partners, with nearly all coming due before next fall. The company also recently reported record quarterly revenue and unveiled new products ahead of the holiday shopping season. On November 4, shares rose more than 6% to a record $354.33 as investors speculated that Democratic election victories could slow data-center construction and ease pressure on memory-chip prices.

MSFT · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +6.68% OC% ▲ +2.23%

MSFT daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
MSFT · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

MSFT – Microsoft Technicals Summary

MSFT closed the completed November 4 daily session at 555.8, advancing 6.68% from the prior close and 2.23% from the open. An unfilled opening gap was followed by additional gains, a higher high and higher low, and a close above the previous day’s high. The finish above VWAP strengthened the daily picture, and price ended within 1% of its 52-week high.

Intermediate- and far-term uptrends supported the advance, but the near-term average was still falling beneath price, leaving that horizon mixed. The separate 15-session price trend also remained negative and inefficient. Range was above average and volume exceeded twice average, consistent with lookback expansion in both range and activity; this was also the fifth consecutive large-range bar. PSAR was long, although a next-session low below 504.96 would trigger a conditional sell/short reversal.

Microsoft News and Fundamentals

Microsoft’s fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings and revenue exceeded estimates, with accelerating Azure growth supported by strong cloud demand and rising artificial-intelligence adoption. Separately, Mediaocean announced on November 4 that it expanded Prisma Direct into search through an integration with Microsoft Advertising.

GOOGL · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +3.18% OC% ▲ +1.91%

GOOGL daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
GOOGL · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

GOOGL – Alphabet Technicals Summary

GOOGL’s November 4 daily session ended at 288.93, gaining 3.18% from the prior close and 1.91% from the open. An unfilled opening gap developed into a higher high and higher low, with a finish above the previous day’s high. However, the close remained below VWAP, indicating that the positive close-to-close result did not coincide with a finish above the session’s volume-weighted price.

The advance opposed downtrends across the near, intermediate and far horizons, with price still below all three falling average structures. The 15-session decline had also been relatively directional, making this one-day recovery distinct from the established lookback story. Range was about 1.8 times average, interrupting a contracting range trend, while above-average volume continued increasing activity. PSAR remained bearish; only a next-session high above 297.1891 would trigger its conditional buy/long reversal.

TSLA · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▼ -3.34% OC% ▲ +1.42%

TSLA daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
TSLA · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

TSLA – Tesla Technicals Summary

TSLA’s November 4 daily session ended at 385.19, down 3.34% from the prior close despite gaining 1.42% from the open. The recovery therefore only partially offset an unfilled downside opening gap. Price made a lower high and lower low and closed below the previous day’s low, while finishing just below VWAP. The open-to-close gain did not erase the weaker daily structure.

The 15-session price trend remained positive but choppy. Price had dropped below a rising near-term average, leaving that horizon mixed, while the intermediate uptrend remained intact. The far-term structure was also mixed because price stood above an average that was still falling. Above-average range followed the lookback expansion, whereas elevated volume interrupted declining activity. PSAR was short despite bullish ATR-median positioning. A next-session high above 414.23 would trigger a conditional buy/long reversal.

Tesla News and Fundamentals

Tesla’s cash holdings reached a record, while rising capital spending and shrinking margins raised questions about how much of that cushion the company could retain.

AMZN · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +6.12% OC% ▲ +0.46%

AMZN daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
AMZN · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

AMZN – Amazon Technicals Summary

AMZN finished the November 4 daily session at 266.03, up 6.12% from the prior close but only 0.46% from the open. Most of the gain therefore came through the unfilled opening gap rather than sustained open-to-close progress. The session established a higher high and higher low and closed above the previous day’s high, while also breaching the prior inside-bar high.

Price stood above the near- and intermediate-term averages, but both averages were still falling. This leaves those horizons mixed rather than aligned with the far-term uptrend, and the 15-session price trend remained negative and choppy. Volume was approximately twice average, consistent with increasing lookback activity, while the range was only modestly above average despite an expanding range trend. The close below VWAP tempered the strength. A next-session low below 232.6308 would conditionally reverse PSAR to sell/short.

Amazon News and Fundamentals

Amazon is planning data-center campuses in Washington’s Walla Walla County and Tri-Cities, drawing concerns from residents. AWS has delivered six consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue growth, and CEO Andy Jassy said further momentum lies ahead. Separately, Can Marine Systems announced on November 4 that it became an authorized reseller of Amazon Leo satellite connectivity, which it will deliver through its Canopus platform for maritime customers.

NVDA · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▼ -3.17% OC% ▼ -1.66%

NVDA daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
NVDA · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

NVDA – Nvidia Technicals Summary

NVDA’s November 4 daily session closed at 200.13, down 3.17% from the prior close and 1.66% from the open. The opening downside gap was filled during trading, but that recovery did not hold. Price ultimately formed a lower high and lower low, breached the prior inside-bar low and finished below the previous day’s low, near the session low and beneath VWAP.

The decline aligned with falling near- and intermediate-term averages and the negative 15-session price trend. The far-term structure was mixed rather than fully bearish: its average was still rising, but price remained below it. Range and volume were both above average, interrupting lookback tendencies toward narrower ranges and declining participation. PSAR and ATR-median remained bearish, consistent with the weaker structure. A next-session high above 217.2081 would trigger a conditional PSAR buy/long reversal, not an already established recovery.

Nvidia News and Fundamentals

Nvidia reportedly told cloud partners to limit business with Chinese customers, an unwritten restriction already creating difficulties for some smaller providers ahead of its November earnings report. Shares fell about 1.5% by 1:38 p.m. on November 4 amid a semiconductor sell-off. Reports linked the decline to concerns that Democratic midterm victories could slow data-center construction or increase its costs.

META · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +1.44% OC% ▼ -1.74%

META daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
META · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

META – Meta Platforms Technicals Summary

META’s completed November 4 daily session closed at 630, up 1.44% from the prior close but down 1.74% from the open. The unfilled opening gap preserved a positive daily return despite the subsequent retreat. Price formed a higher high and higher low and finished above the previous day’s high, but the close below VWAP qualified that improvement and highlighted the weaker open-to-close result.

The 15-session price trend remained strongly negative and relatively directional. Price was above a falling near-term average, below a falling intermediate-term average and slightly below a rising far-term average, leaving no broad bullish alignment. The session’s below-average range followed the existing contraction, while above-average volume matched increasing lookback activity. PSAR was in a long state despite the bearish ATR-median backdrop. A next-session low below 606.41 would conditionally trigger a PSAR sell/short reversal.

Meta News and Fundamentals

Meta is seeking to raise $9.2 billion in its debut euro bond sale, targeting maturities of four, six, eight, 12, 18 and 38 years. Separately, the company raised billions through another bond offering that attracted investor demand nearly four times the amount sought, although lenders charged the company a borrowing cost it had not previously paid.


Cross-market ETFs Daily open-to-close percentage changes
Cross-market ETFs — daily
InstrumentBiasDateDNC%DOC%OHLCVWAPVol
▲ IBIT▲ ▲ ▼2026-11-04▲ +2.91%▲ +2.44%44.2545.9544.2545.33▼ 45.3959,521,551
▲ GLD▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04▲ +3.68%▲ +0.79%369.58372.99369.22372.49▲ 371.3010,991,898
▲ TLT▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04▲ +0.80%▲ +0.48%81.3781.8080.8981.76▲ 81.5341,441,322
▼ USO▼ ▼ ▼2026-11-04▼ -8.07%▼ -5.10%153.22154.49142.96145.41▼ 146.9511,742,746
AVG/Sum——-0.17%-0.35%—————123,697,517

Cross-Market ETFs
Negative confluence: average DNC% -0.17% versus the prior close, DOC% -0.35% from the open. Bitcoin led open-to-close gains alongside bonds and gold, but oil fell 5.10% from the open and 8.07% versus the prior close, diverging from equities. Gold’s daily advance contrasted with falling intermediate- and long-term structures.

IBIT · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +2.91% OC% ▲ +2.44%

IBIT daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
IBIT · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

IBIT – Bitcoin Technicals Summary

IBIT closed its completed November 4 daily session at 45.33, rising 2.91% from the prior close and 2.44% from the open. Unlike a predominantly gap-driven gain, most of this advance occurred after the open. The opening gap remained unfilled, price exceeded the prior inside-bar high, and the session finished above the previous day’s high after establishing a higher high and higher low.

The broader structure was less decisive. Price stood above a falling near-term average but below a rising intermediate-term average, leaving both horizons mixed, while the far-term uptrend remained intact. The 15-session price trend was negative. Range approached twice average, opposing the lookback contraction, and elevated volume followed an increasing activity trend. The close was slightly below VWAP. PSAR remained bearish, with a next-session high above 46.2003 required to trigger a conditional buy/long reversal.

GLD · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +3.68% OC% ▲ +0.79%

GLD daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
GLD · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

GLD – Gold Technicals Summary

GLD closed the completed November 4 daily session at 372.49, up 3.68% from the prior close and 0.79% from the open. The unfilled opening gap supplied most of the advance. Nevertheless, the session made a higher high and higher low, finished above the previous day’s high and closed near its own high, with price also above session VWAP.

That daily strength remained a rebound within a weaker broader structure. Price was above a falling near-term average, leaving that horizon mixed, but remained below declining intermediate- and far-term averages. The 15-session price trend was also negative. The latest range was slightly below average despite an expanding lookback range trend, while above-average volume followed the existing increase in activity. PSAR was long, but a next-session low below 354.67 would trigger a sell/short reversal rather than confirm lasting improvement now.

Gold News and Fundamentals

Gold reclaimed $4,000 an ounce on November 4, rising more than $100 intraday after the U.S. midterm elections. Reports attributed support to a softer dollar and falling Treasury yields. Gold held above $4,000 after ADP reported 86,000 private-sector jobs added in October and ISM reported continued services-sector expansion. Persistent inflation and economic resilience remained potential constraints on monetary easing, with Friday’s U.S. jobs report the next identified catalyst.

TLT · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▲ +0.80% OC% ▲ +0.48%

TLT daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
TLT · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

TLT – Long-Term Treasury Bonds Technicals Summary

TLT closed the completed November 4 daily session at 81.76, gaining 0.80% from the prior close and 0.48% from the open. The opening gap was filled, but the session recovered to finish above the previous day’s high, near its own high and above VWAP. Its outside-bar structure shows that this positive finish followed movement beyond both ends of the prior day’s range.

Near- and intermediate-term uptrends supported the advance, as did the positive 15-session price trend. However, price remained below a falling far-term average, so shorter-term strength had not resolved the longer-term decline. The latest range was above average despite lookback contraction, while volume was only slightly above average against a declining activity trend. ATR-median remained bullish, but PSAR was in a short state. A next-session high above 82.17 would conditionally trigger its buy/long reversal.

USO · D:2026-11-04 NC% ▼ -8.07% OC% ▼ -5.10%

USO daily OHLC and VWAP lookback
USO · Daily lookback 15 ending 2026-11-04 · OHLC / VWAP / 20 MA

USO – Oil Technicals Summary

USO closed the completed November 4 daily session at 145.41, falling 8.07% from the prior close and 5.10% from the open. An unfilled downside opening gap was followed by substantial additional losses. The session established a lower high and lower low, breached the prior inside-bar low and finished below the previous day’s low and VWAP, giving the decline consistent daily confirmation.

That weakness conflicted with the positive but inefficient 15-session price trend and the intact far-term uptrend. Price fell below still-rising near- and intermediate-term averages, leaving those horizons mixed rather than fully downward. Range expanded to approximately 2.8 times average, sharply opposing lookback contraction, while volume exceeded twice average alongside increasing activity. ATR-median recorded a bearish crossover and PSAR remained bearish. A next-session high above 169.6137 would trigger a conditional PSAR buy/long reversal, not a confirmed recovery.

Oil News and Fundamentals

Oil fell on November 4, putting prices on course for their largest weekly decline since 2020. JPMorgan said recovering Middle Eastern exports and weaker global demand were pushing the oil market back into surplus. Meanwhile, EIA reported a fifth consecutive weekly decline in U.S. commercial crude inventories, down 865,000 barrels, with distillate stocks at their lowest in more than two decades. The Energy Department announced loans of 300,000 barrels from its emergency heating-oil reserve.

Glossary: Instrument — ticker symbol; hover for the instrument or company name; Date — session date. DNC% — prior-session close to this session’s close; DOC% — daily session open-to-close percentage change. O — open; H — high; L — low; C — close, all for the table’s daily or weekly session; VWAP — volume-weighted average price; its arrow shows whether the close is above or below VWAP. Vol — period trading volume.

Bias — three directional readings, in order: DNC%, DOC%, then VWAP. ▲ positive/above; ▼ negative/below; — neutral or unavailable. Matching arrows show alignment; opposing arrows show mixed conditions. AVG/Sum — simple average of percentage changes and sum of reported volumes.


Futures Session Fib Grid Analysis – Snapshot

Session Fib Grids normalise market positioning as percentages, making direction and alignment comparable across different asset types.

Latest available snapshot for each instrument; Time(CT) shows the individual update date and time.

Index futures — YSFG, MSFG, WSFG, RSFG, SFG, TSI
InstrumentBiasTime(CT)YSFGMSFGWSFGRSFGSFGTSI
▲ ES▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 15:59:59▲ +57▲ +36▲ +56▲ +54▲ +54▲ +99
▲ NQ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 15:59:59▲ +46▲ +2▲ +4▲ +34▲ +34▲ +26
▲ YM▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 15:59:58▲ +50▲ +67▲ +129▲ +102▲ +102▲ +208
▼ EMD▲ ▲ ▲ ▼ ▼ ▲2026-11-04 15:59:30▲ +33▲ +38▲ +65▼ -38▼ -38▲ +88
▲ RTY▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 15:59:57▲ +46▲ +26▲ +43▲ +7▲ +7▲ +95
▲ FDAX▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 15:03:25▲ +49▲ +68▲ +105▲ +260▲ +74▲ +318
▼ NKD▲ ▲ ▲ ▼ ▲ ▼2026-11-04 15:59:48▲ +150▲ +6▲ +12▼ -20▲ +13▼ -8
Cross-market futures — YSFG, MSFG, WSFG, RSFG, SFG, TSI
InstrumentBiasTime(CT)YSFGMSFGWSFGRSFGSFGTSI
▲ BTC▼ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 16:48:34▼ -36▲ +22▲ +58▲ +111▲ +113▲ +316
▲ GC▼ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲2026-11-04 15:59:55▼ -131▲ +43▲ +100▲ +32▲ +39▲ +58
▼ CL▲ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼2026-11-04 15:59:58▲ +148▼ -72▼ -182▼ -144▼ -145▼ -174
▼ 6E▼ ▲ ▲ ▼ ▼ ▼2026-11-04 15:59:57▼ -54▲ +30▲ +62▼ -59▼ -51▼ -21
▼ ZB▼ ▲ ▲ ▼ ▼ ▲2026-10-21 09:39:59▼ -39▲ +77▲ +6▼ -3▼ -2▲ +29

Glossary: YSFG — yearly; MSFG — monthly; WSFG — weekly; RSFG — regular trading hours (RTH); SFG — the current session, including pre-market or other sessions. TSI indicates trend strength and power.

Bias shows trend alignment across these six readings. The arrows follow the column order: YSFG, MSFG, WSFG, RSFG, SFG and TSI. Matching arrows show alignment; opposing arrows show mixed conditions.


Futures Higher Time Frame Analysis

Summary of the current state of US Indices Futures based on higher time-frame (HTF) technical analysis as of: 2026-11-04 16:00 -05:00 CT.

US Indices Futures

  • ES above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers, below 5–100-day benchmarks, above rising 200-day, daily pivots down, support 7490, reversal 7673.50, resistance 7906.25.
  • NQ above YSFG F0%, below MSFG/WSFG F0% and 5–100-day benchmarks, testing 200-day, pivots down, support 27500.75–27615.75, reversal 28830.75.
  • YM above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG centers, declining daily benchmarks overhead, above rising 200-day, daily pivots down, support 51444, reversal 52718, resistance 53168/54259.
  • EMD above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG F0%, above most daily benchmarks, below 100-day 3781.3, daily pivots up, support 3600.3, resistance 3763.8/3793.9/3969.6.
  • RTY above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG F0%, above daily 10/20 benchmarks, below 55/100, daily pivots up, support 2725.3, reversal 2793.2, resistance 2880.2/2888.9.
  • FDAX YSFG/MSFG/WSFG trends upward, above all daily/weekly benchmarks, swing pivots up, support 24925, daily reversal 25815, resistance 26844–26847.

Overall State

  • Short-Term: Neutral
  • Intermediate-Term: Neutral
  • Long-Term: Bullish

Conclusion

Directional alignment is mixed: FDAX leads with daily and weekly uptrends, EMD and RTY show daily recoveries, while ES, YM, and NQ retain daily down-pivot structures. NQ lags beneath MSFG/WSFG F0% and its short/intermediate benchmarks. Yearly grids and rising long-term weekly benchmarks retain broader upward context. EMD and RTY remain near pivot resistance and below their daily 100-period benchmarks; FDAX approaches 26844–26847 resistance despite a recent monthly short signal. ES and YM retain bullish weekly intermediate structures within daily retracements.

Note: Intra-day counter-trend pullbacks or retracements may occur, HTF is context for informational usage and market structure. Glossary: Session Fib Grids periods of YSFG:’Yearly’, MSFG:’Monthly’, WSFG:’Weekly’

For full details visit: AlphaWebTrader Technicals


SPY Daily View

SPY Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bearish
  • Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

SPY futures-equivalent price action is in a sharp short-term liquidation swing, with large bars and fast downside momentum pressing into the 750.38-749.60 support cluster. The daily pivot structure remains bearish, and price is below every benchmark from the 5-day through 100-day average, confirming downside trend alignment across short and intermediate horizons. The developing pivot low near 750.67 creates a near-term response area, while 763.54 is the pivotal upside reversal threshold; overhead resistance is layered at 773.36, 774.44, and 781.62. The broader structure remains neutral rather than fully bearish because price is still materially above a rising 200-day benchmark near 729.15, leaving the current move characterized as a pronounced correction within the larger yearly trend.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


ES Daily View

ES Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Neutral
  • Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily structure reflects a sharp, high-volatility countertrend selloff from the October swing high, with large bars and price positioned below the 5-, 10-, 20-, 55-, and 100-day benchmarks. The short-term pivot trend remains down, although the intermediate pivot sequence remains constructive and the broader yearly grid is positive. The 7490 pivot low is the principal nearby structural support, while 7673.50 is the immediate pivot-reversal threshold and the 7700-7750 area contains a dense cluster of declining moving-average resistance. Long-term conditions remain supported by price holding above the rising 200-day benchmark, preserving the broader bullish structure despite the current daily retracement.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


QQQ Daily View

QQQ Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bearish
  • Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

QQQ reflects a sharp futures-style liquidation leg, with large-range bars and fast downside momentum driving price beneath every benchmark from the 5-day through 100-day averages. Both the short-term pivot trend and intermediate HiLo trend are in DTrend, defining a lower-high/lower-low structure. The 680.33 swing-low area and nearby rising 200-day average at 679.82 form the principal long-term support confluence, while 701.29 is the initial pivot-reversal reference and 724.43-727.95 is a dense overhead resistance zone. November price action is below the monthly NTZ lower boundary, confirming intermediate-term downside pressure; however, the 200-day average remains positively sloped, leaving the major trend structurally neutral rather than fully bearish.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


NQ Daily View

NQ Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bearish
  • Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

Price is in a fast, high-volatility downswing from the October peak, with large daily bars and a sequence of lower highs driving the short-term pivot trend lower. Price remains below the weekly and monthly F0% levels, beneath the 5, 10, 20, 55, and 100-day benchmarks, confirming broad short- and intermediate-term downside alignment. The 200-day average near 28526.25 is being tested, while the 27615.75 to 27500.75 swing-support area marks the major nearby downside reference. The intermediate HiLo trend remains positive and the yearly grid remains above F0%, framing the current decline as a substantial countertrend retracement within the longer-term 2026 advance. A recovery through the 28830.75 next-pivot threshold would be the first structural indication that the immediate decline is evolving into a rebound.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


USO Daily View

USO Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bullish
  • Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

USO remains in a broader higher-high and higher-low structure above rising 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks, supporting the intermediate and long-term bullish trend condition. The recent rejection from 171.82 created a short-term pivot downtrend, with price still beneath declining 5-, 10-, and 20-day averages. The 155.75 pivot low is the immediate structural reference after a sharp pullback and rebound, while 164.25 is the next pivot-high reversal level and 171.82 remains the major overhead swing resistance. November price action is above the monthly F0%/NTZ region, reflecting an upside extension from the monthly balance area, but the short-term structure remains a countertrend recovery within a recent selloff from the highs.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


CL Daily View

CL Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bearish
  • Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has shifted into a fast, large-range selloff from the 104.99 swing-high resistance area, breaking beneath the 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks and placing both weekly and monthly Fib-grid conditions below their F0%/NTZ zones. The short-term pivot sequence is bearish, while 93.59 is the immediate pivot-low reference. The intermediate structure remains mixed because the HiLo trend and 55-day benchmark remain upward, but current momentum and the monthly grid show a countertrend retracement within the broader 2026 advance. The long-term structure remains constructive above the rising 100- and 200-day benchmarks and the annual Fib-grid F0% area.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


GLD Daily View

GLD Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bearish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bearish
  • Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

GLD reflects a broad futures-style liquidation structure: price is beneath every daily benchmark, all benchmark slopes are down, and both the short-term pivot trend and intermediate HiLo trend remain in DTrend. The decline from the October rebound has produced lower highs and lower lows, with momentum accelerating into the 356.17 pivot low area. The 373.60 pivot-next level defines the nearby countertrend reversal threshold, while the 364.67 area is the closest prior support reference now overhead after the breakdown. The November monthly grid is newly established around current pricing, showing a reset period following a sharp downside expansion. Elevated ATR conditions and firm volume activity characterize a volatile directional decline rather than a stable consolidation.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


GC Daily View

GC Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Neutral
  • Intermediate-Term: Bearish
  • Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is staging a sharp V-shaped rebound from the 3879.3 swing-support area, producing a short-term UTrend and a fast recovery in momentum. The rebound has lifted price above the 5-day and 10-day benchmarks, but price remains beneath the declining 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages, preserving a broader bearish moving-average structure. The November MSFG remains below its F0% area, while the weekly structure and newly formed pivot sequence reflect counter-trend strength. The 4062.2 evolving pivot high and nearby 4093.3 20-day average form the immediate technical test zone; failure to sustain the rebound would retain focus on 3910.8 and 3879.3 support. Elevated ATR conditions indicate wide daily ranges and an active, volatile swing environment.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


ZB Daily View

ZB Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-11-04 CT

Overall Rating

  • Short-Term: Bullish
  • Intermediate-Term: Bullish
  • Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is consolidating near 107'16 after a sharp October recovery from the 101 area. The short-term pivot structure remains upward and price holds above the rising 10-, 20-, and 55-day benchmarks, while the weekly and November fib grids remain positive. The 108.9375 evolving pivot high is the nearby recovery ceiling, with 106.34375 defining the next short-term downside pivot threshold. Intermediate conditions reflect a countertrend recovery within a broader declining structure: the HiLo trend remains down and price is still below declining 100- and 200-day averages. Small daily bars and moderating momentum indicate a pause and compression following the rally rather than a broad long-term trend reversal.

View charts on: AlphaWebTrader HTF Charts


After Market Close Analysis uses an ATS proprietary Enhanced Intelligence (EI) Engine—integrating ‘Data, System, and Market’ via macroeconomic analysis, Eco-Finance, deterministic quantitative models, and AI-driven synthesis. For informational and analytical use only.
Terms and Risk Disclosure Copyright © 2026 Algo Trading Systems LLC.

Filed Under: Market Roundup Tagged With: After-Market-Close, NYSE Close

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