November 12 2025 Trader Market Radar – NYSE Pre-Market Session

SPY Weekly View

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Holiday Radar

No U.S. market holidays pending in the next 7 days.

Earnings Radar

Monitoring for earnings releases by the Magnificent 7, AI-tech-related firms, and major financial institutions.

• MCHP Release: 2025-11-06 T:AMC

Microchip Technology (MCHP) reported earnings after market close on November 6, 2025. The release came during a period of declining index futures momentum and lighter trading volume, as broader markets held steady ahead of upcoming earnings from NVDA, the broader Magnificent Seven (MAG7), and key AI-related tech stocks. The proximity of these major tech earnings has contributed to a cautious trading environment, as traders and investors await potentially market-moving news. As a result, even though MCHP’s report provided some sector-specific insights, overall market reaction remained muted with much of the futures activity pausing. Indices are likely to continue showing restrained moves and subdued volume leading up to the highly anticipated NVDA and big tech earnings events.

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EcoNews Radar U.S. Events

EcoNews Summary

• Thursday 08:30 – Multiple high-impact US inflation releases: Core CPI m/m, CPI m/m, and CPI y/y will set market expectations for Fed monetary policy. Higher-than-expected readings may spark volatility as traders reassess rate cut timing.
• Thursday 08:30 – High-impact Unemployment Claims data releases alongside inflation figures. Surprises in jobless claims may modulate the market’s response to CPI outcomes.
• Thursday 12:00 – Low-impact Crude Oil Inventories release. Unless inventories prompt a notable jump in oil prices, impact on indices is likely muted.
• Friday 08:30 – A fresh round of high-impact data: Core PPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, PPI m/m, and Retail Sales m/m crowd the open. Elevated readings in PPI and Retail Sales may reinforce or challenge the inflation picture from Thursday, compounding index volatility.

EcoNews Conclusion

• Index futures should anticipate marked volatility at both Thursday and Friday’s 08:30 ET data releases as the CPI-PPI suite dominates the inflation narrative this week.
• Back-to-back high-impact data increases the risk of sharp intraday swings and fast momentum shifts, especially if results diverge from consensus forecasts.
• CPI and PPI outcomes will be heavily scrutinized for clues on Fed easing timelines, keeping market sensitivity elevated in both sessions.
• Labor market data (Unemployment Claims) and retail sales may further influence risk sentiment if figures show unexpected resilience or weakness.
• Events are dense around the 08:30 ET time cycle on both days, making this window critical for volume surges and potential trend inflections.

Market News Summary

• U.S.–China Trade: A recent trade truce between the U.S. and China has led to policy changes, but experts warn tensions may persist and this phase remains uncertain.
• Government Shutdown Developments: U.S. stock futures and indices are rallying ahead of a House vote to reopen the government. Hopes for a Fed rate cut, positive earnings, and strong economic resilience are supporting risk assets. Yields have eased, and gold is nearing highs on safe-haven demand.
• Federal Reserve: Debate within the Fed continues, with some officials favoring a rate cut pause amid mixed data. The uncertainty has contributed to market volatility.
• Regulatory Environment: The White House is considering restrictions on the influence of proxy advisers and index-fund giants in shareholder voting, introducing potential risks for the ETF and passive investing ecosystem.
• Commodities: Oil prices are fluctuating with little change overall, as markets await OPEC and IEA reports. Despite weaker crude, gasoil prices remain elevated. Technical moves are causing short-term corrections in oil after recent gains. The IEA sees sustained oil and gas demand into 2050, while OPEC expects a balanced oil market next year.
• Precious Metals: Gold and silver climbed on safe-haven flows and expectations of Fed easing, but there is some consolidation as the dollar rebounds and traders await Fed commentary.
• Global Equities: European markets are set for higher opens on positive momentum. Asia sees support as the Bank of Korea signals ongoing easing and discounts local stock overvaluation concerns. Citi maintains a constructive view on global equities, calling for moderate gains through mid-2026 despite performance concentration.
• ETF & Index News: S&P 500-based ETFs such as GPIX and SPY remain in focus for their diversification and yield strategies. Recent analysis highlights the long-term wealth creation potential of index funds.
• Sector Rotation: Analysts are highlighting opportunities beyond mega-cap tech, as AI-related stocks face concerns about hype and unsustainable spend. Bank of America presents alternative stock ideas across different sectors.

News Conclusion

• Stocks, index futures, and gold are responding favorably to U.S. government reopening prospects, Fed policy speculation, and continued strong earnings.
• Oil markets reflect both technical trading and anticipation around major reports, while gasoil stands out with unique strength despite softer crude.
• Broader market sentiment is supported by resilience in the U.S. economy and positive global momentum, though regulatory and sector-specific risks are being monitored.
• Rotation beyond technology and active ETF strategies are becoming more prominent as investors seek diversification amid concentrated index performance.
• Uncertainty remains regarding central bank moves and regulatory shifts, setting the stage for continued market movement across equities, commodities, and currencies.

Market News Sentiment:

Market News Articles: 49

• Positive: 59.18%
• Neutral: 26.53%
• Negative: 14.29%

Sentiment Summary:
Out of 49 recent market news articles, 59.18% conveyed a positive outlook, 26.53% maintained a neutral stance, and 14.29% reflected negative sentiment.

This distribution indicates the majority of current news coverage is positive, with neutral perspectives also well-represented, and a smaller proportion of negative sentiment in the market news flow.

GLD,Gold Articles: 14

• Positive: 64.29%
• Neutral: 28.57%
• Negative: 7.14%

Sentiment Summary:
Out of 14 recent articles covering GLD and gold, 64.29% reflected a positive sentiment, 28.57% were neutral, and 7.14% were negative.

This indicates that the majority of recent market news coverage on GLD and gold has been positive, with a significant portion also presenting neutral perspectives and a small minority conveying negative sentiment.

USO,Oil Articles: 10

• Neutral: 50.00%
• Positive: 30.00%
• Negative: 20.00%

Sentiment Summary: Coverage on USO and oil is predominantly neutral (50%), with a notable portion of articles expressing positive sentiment (30%) and a smaller share reflecting negative sentiment (20%).

This distribution suggests that market news currently reflects a balanced outlook on USO and oil, with sentiment slightly leaning toward positivity.

Market Data Snapshot

ETF Snapshot of major stock market ETFs, Mag7, and others as of: November 12, 2025 07:16

• AAPL 275.25 Bullish 2.16%
• USO 72.72 Bullish 1.45%
• DIA 479.41 Bullish 1.18%
• MSFT 508.68 Bullish 0.53%
• TLT 89.96 Bullish 0.46%
• GOOG 291.74 Bullish 0.40%
• GLD 379.87 Bullish 0.39%
• AMZN 249.10 Bullish 0.28%
• SPY 683.00 Bullish 0.23%
• IWM 244.24 Bullish 0.09%
• IJH 65.33 Bearish -0.03%
• QQQ 621.57 Bearish -0.27%
• META 627.08 Bearish -0.74%
• TSLA 439.62 Bearish -1.26%
• NVDA 193.16 Bearish -2.96%
• IBIT 58.35 Bearish -3.06%

Higher Time Frame Analysis

Summary of the current state of US Indices Futures based on higher time-frame (HTF) technical analysis as of: 2025-11-12: 07:16 CT.

US Indices Futures

• ES Uptrend on YSFG, MSFG, WSFG, benchmarks all rising, swing pivots higher highs/lows, SR: resistance 6953.75, supports below, breakout momentum confirmed, no reversal signs.
• NQ YSFG/MSFG/WSFG up, price above NTZ/F0, swing pivots uptrend weekly, daily swing consolidation, benchmarks rising, resistance at 26399/26339, supports at 25405/24701, upward momentum remains.
• YM Weekly/monthly/yearly grids rising, benchmarks up, swing pivots trend up, resistance at 48083/48214, supports at 46170/46574, recent break from consolidation, trend continuation signals.
• EMD Weekly YSFG/MSFG/WSFG up, pivots short/intermediate trend neutral on weekly, daily pivots resume up, benchmarks up, resistance 3352.2/3290.2, supports 3198.3/3189.5, corrective phase on HTF but long-term bullish.
• RTY YSFG/MSFG/WSFG trend up, weekly pivots higher highs/lows, resistance 2566.5/2485.5, supports 2375.5/2381.6, daily shows consolidation with neutral short/intermediate trend, long-term up structure intact.
• FDAX Weekly YSFG/MSFG up, weekly pivots short-term down, longer term uptrends, consolidation near highs, supports 23419/23918, resistances 24498/24891, benchmarks rising, bullish recovery phase on daily.

Overall State

• Short-Term: Bullish to Neutral
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish
• Long-Term: Bullish

Conclusion

US Indices Futures maintain long-term bullish momentum as confirmed by YSFG, MSFG, WSFG structure and upward-trending benchmarks. All major indices are above NTZ/F0% levels, with weekly/daily pivots supporting trend continuation. ES, NQ, and YM exhibit strong rally phases and higher swing pivots, while EMD and RTY show some consolidation or correction at the short/intermediate timeframe but retain strong long-term structures. FDAX consolidates near recent highs, with higher timeframe uptrends intact. Support and resistance levels are well-defined, and swing pivots indicate prevailing directional bias remains up across most instruments. No major HTF reversal signals are present.

Note: Intra-day counter-trend pullbacks or retracements may occur, HTF is context for informational usage and market structure. Glossary: Session Fib Grids periods of YSFG:’Yearly’, MSFG:’Monthly’, WSFG:’Weekly’

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Tech Weekly View

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