August 13 2025 Trader Market Radar – NYSE Pre-Market Session

SPY Weekly View

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Holiday Radar

No U.S. market holidays pending in the next 7 days.

Earnings Radar

Monitoring for earnings releases by the Magnificent 7, AI-tech-related firms, and major financial institutions.

No monitored earnings reports are pending in the next 7 days.

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EcoNews Radar U.S. Events

EcoNews Summary: High Impact Events

• Thursday 08:30 – USD Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m, Unemployment Claims: A critical cluster of high-impact data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures inflation at the wholesale level – any surprise can shift index futures on inflation expectations. Unemployment Claims provide labor market clarity; unexpected moves could indicate economic acceleration or slowdown.
• Friday 08:30 – USD Core Retail Sales m/m, Retail Sales m/m: Retail Sales are a direct gauge of consumer activity and economic health. Strong numbers support higher indices, while weak results often spark selling or increased volatility.
• Friday 10:00 – USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, UoM Inflation Expectations: Both are influential for market outlook; Consumer Sentiment impacts near-term risk appetite, and UoM Inflation Expectations can drive expectations for future Fed monetary policy actions.
• Wednesday 10:30 – USD Crude Oil Inventories (Medium Impact): Oil inventory data can influence S&P and Dow, especially if significant drawdowns/larger builds affect inflation and geopolitical outlooks. Any sharp reaction in oil prices may spill over into equity indices.

EcoNews Conclusion

• Several clustered high-impact US economic prints (PPI, Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Sentiment) may generate outsized intraday volatility, especially near the 08:30 and 10:00 ET time windows.
• Oil Inventories may inject volatility into index futures if prices move sharply, as elevated oil prices can influence inflation expectations and broader market sentiment.
• News events around the 10 AM time cycle often act as a catalyst for reversals or continuations, particularly with Friday’s UoM releases.

Market News Summary

• Inflation & Rate Cut Expectations: U.S. inflation data came in steady for July, fueling market optimism that the Federal Reserve may cut rates at its September meeting. The dollar weakened and Treasury yields retreated as a result. Major U.S. indices, notably the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, closed at new record highs. Positive investor sentiment is reflected in the CNN Fear & Greed Index remaining in the “Greed” zone, and a further rise in U.S. stock futures.
• Equity & ETF Flows: U.S.-listed ETFs saw nearly $19 billion in weekly inflows, with fixed income ETFs leading as rate cut bets build. Meanwhile, attention is drawn to key earnings ahead, including CoreWeave, Cisco, and Carparts.com.
• Commodities: Gold and silver prices advanced as softer inflation and a weaker dollar improved the metals’ outlook, though strong risk-on sentiment limited safe-haven demand. Technical signals remain bullish and key resistance levels are in focus. Oil prices declined, especially WTI falling below its 200-day moving average after the IEA cut its demand forecast and OPEC+ raised output.
• Global Markets & Hedge Flows: Hedge funds increased positions in Japanese equities ahead of the Nikkei’s all-time high and raised short positions in South Korea. Global stocks rallied as Fed rate cut expectations rose, although the Dow lagged. Cryptocurrencies gained alongside equities, and crypto exchange Bullish priced its IPO above range amid strong demand.
• Tariffs & Geopolitics: Discussions of U.S. tariffs, including impacts from previous Trump administration actions, remain in focus with broader implications for inflation, supply chains, and selected equity and commodity sectors. Former Canadian officials warned about the sustainability of high tariff rates amid ongoing global trade tensions.
• Notable Callouts: Strategists forecast further U.S. equity gains into 2026 on transformative economic reforms. Volatility measures like the VIX hit year-to-date lows, which is perceived as supportive for equities. In commodity and index trading, natural gas and oil face technical inflection points, with traders watching for breakouts or breakdowns.

News Conclusion

• Expectations of a near-term Fed rate cut, underpinned by steady inflation data, have lifted equities to record highs and improved sentiment in stocks and risk assets globally.
• ETF flows reflect a preference for fixed income, while strong risk appetite has also fueled gains in gold, silver, and crypto assets. IPO appetite for crypto exchanges signals robust investor demand.
• Oil markets face pressure from both supply-side increases and reduced demand outlooks, driving prices below important technical levels.
• Tariff-related headlines and trade tensions remain potential volatility catalysts across equity and commodity segments.
• Market strategists point to continued bullishness in U.S. equities, while technical indicators in commodities and volatility indices suggest key levels to watch in the near term.

Market News Sentiment:

Market News Articles: 14

• Positive: 50.00%
• Neutral: 35.71%
• Negative: 14.29%

Sentiment Summary:
Of the 14 market news articles reviewed, 50% conveyed a positive sentiment, 35.71% were neutral, and 14.29% reflected a negative tone.

This breakdown indicates a predominance of positive sentiment in current market news, with a significant portion remaining neutral and a smaller share presenting negative perspectives.

GLD,Gold Articles: 5

• Positive: 60.00%
• Neutral: 40.00%

Sentiment Summary: The majority of recent news coverage on GLD and gold is positive, with 60% of articles reflecting a positive sentiment and 40% remaining neutral.

This indicates that current news sentiment is generally favorable toward GLD and gold, with no significant negative coverage reported.

USO,Oil Articles: 3

• Neutral: 66.67%
• Negative: 33.33%

Sentiment Summary: The majority of recent news articles on USO and Oil present a neutral sentiment (66.67%), with a smaller portion reflecting negative sentiment (33.33%).

This indicates that the market coverage is largely balanced, with some negative views present.

Market Data Snapshot

ETF Snapshot of major stock market ETFs, Mag7, and others as of: August 13, 2025 07:16

• META 790.00 Bullish 3.15%
• IWM 226.81 Bullish 2.97%
• IJH 63.71 Bullish 2.28%
• MSFT 529.24 Bullish 1.43%
• QQQ 580.05 Bullish 1.26%
• GOOG 204.16 Bullish 1.25%
• AAPL 229.65 Bullish 1.09%
• SPY 642.69 Bullish 1.06%
• DIA 444.68 Bullish 1.06%
• NVDA 183.16 Bullish 0.60%
• TSLA 340.84 Bullish 0.53%
• IBIT 67.95 Bullish 0.46%
• AMZN 221.47 Bullish 0.08%
• GLD 308.27 Bearish -0.09%
• TLT 86.95 Bearish -0.50%
• USO 72.95 Bearish -1.15%

Higher Time Frame Analysis

Summary of the current state of US Indices Futures based on higher time-frame (HTF) technical analysis as of: 2025-08-13: 07:16 CT.

US Indices Futures

• ES Strong uptrend, all Fib grids bullish, price above all MAs, recent swing high 6484.50, support at 6145.00, clear higher highs and lows, no reversal signals.
• NQ Sustained uptrend, above YSFG/MSFG/WSFG, all MAs up, swing high at 24,010.00, support at 23,302.00, all recent signals long, no major resistance overhead.
• YM Strong bullish momentum, above all Fib grids, MAs trending up, swing high at 44,565, support at 42,627, intermediate trend mixed, resistance at 45,378/46,300.
• EMD Bullish trend, price above all NTZ/F0% fibs, all MAs upward, pivots rising (high 3236.8), resistance 3501.9, support 3107.6, trend continuation phase, no exhaustion indicated.
• RTY Bullish short/long term, above all fib grids, all MAs up, swing high 2308.1, support at 2199.2/2115, intermediate trend mixed, recent signals upward, possible test of resistance 2309.7.
• FDAX Neutral short-term, bullish intermediate/long-term, above YSFG/MSFG, below WSFG NTZ, MAs up, key resistance at 24,169–24,759, support 23,446, choppy consolidation, mixed short-term signals.

Overall State

• Short-Term: Bullish (FDAX Neutral)
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish (RTY, YM, FDAX Neutral)
• Long-Term: Bullish

Conclusion

US Indices Futures are maintaining strong bullish technical structures across higher timeframes, with the ES, NQ, YM, EMD, and RTY all trading above key yearly, monthly, and weekly session fib grid levels. Moving averages on all major indices are trending upward, indicating broad-based structural strength. Swing pivot analyses reveal higher highs and higher lows, with leading benchmarks such as ES and NQ establishing new highs and maintaining support well below current prices. While RTY and YM display some intermediate-term consolidation, their overall structure remains upward, supported by long-term grid and MA alignment. FDAX shows consolidation and mixed short-term direction but retains intermediate and long-term uptrends above key support. Across indices, the technical context reflects trend continuation, with no immediate reversal or exhaustion signals, and resistance levels remain the primary benchmarks for further movement.

Note: Intra-day counter-trend pullbacks or retracements may occur, HTF is context for informational usage and market structure. Glossary: Session Fib Grids periods of YSFG:’Yearly’, MSFG:’Monthly’, WSFG:’Weekly’

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Tech Weekly View

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