November 25 2025 Trader Market Radar – NYSE Pre-Market Session

SPY Weekly View

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Holiday Radar

• 2025-11-27 Thanksgiving Day
• 2025-11-28 Thanksgiving Day (09:30-13:00)

Earnings Radar

Monitoring for earnings releases by the Magnificent 7, AI-tech-related firms, and major financial institutions.

No monitored earnings reports are pending in the next 7 days.

For full details visit: Yahoo Earnings Calendar

EcoNews Radar U.S. Events

EcoNews Summary

• Tuesday 08:30: A heavy cluster of high impact US economic data hits the market, including Core PPI m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, PPI m/m, and Retail Sales m/m. These reports will provide clear signals on US consumer spending, inflation trends, and economic strength, and are expected to set the initial tone for indices futures after the open.
• Wednesday 08:30: High impact releases include US Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP q/q. These will update the labor market outlook and economic growth trajectory, both key for risk sentiment and market positioning. The Core PCE Price Index at 10:00 is particularly significant as it is a key inflation measure closely watched by the Federal Reserve.
• Wednesday 10:30: Crude Oil Inventories (medium impact) could spark additional volatility in indices if inventory data impacts oil prices, which in turn affect inflation outlooks and sector rotation in broader markets.

EcoNews Conclusion

• Multiple high impact events in rapid succession on Tuesday and Wednesday, especially concentrated around 08:30, will likely drive substantial volatility and directional moves in indices futures markets.
• Expect market momentum and volume to remain elevated into and immediately after the Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE releases, with potential for sharp reactions to inflation and growth surprises.
• Crude Oil Inventories at 10:30 Wednesday may inject further volatility if results move oil prices significantly, which can impact indices via inflation and sector sentiment.
• News events around the 10 AM time cycle, such as Core PCE on Wednesday, often act as a catalyst for market reversals or continuations.

Market News Summary

• Stocks & Indices: US equities surged to start the week, driven by strong tech sector gains. The Nasdaq Composite jumped nearly 600 points (+2.7%) and led the rally, while S&P 500 and Dow also advanced. The bullish movement followed upbeat outlooks on AI innovation and the market’s three-year bull anniversary. However, futures and European markets displayed caution, with modest pull-backs ahead of key US economic data and December’s Fed rate decision.
• Tech & AI: Momentum returned to tech and AI-linked stocks, including notable gains in Tesla, Broadcom, and Credo Technology. Alphabet’s new AI model and Amazon’s multi-billion dollar AI infrastructure commitments reignited enthusiasm. Despite recent volatility in tech, optimism over rate cuts and fresh AI catalysts fueled sector outperformance.
• Fed & Interest Rates: Widespread anticipation built for a Fed rate cut in December, with market-implied odds rising and dovish comments from central bankers supporting sentiment. Still, divided views persist within the Fed, and missing inflation data has amplified uncertainty in the policy outlook.
• Commodities: Gold and silver prices edged higher, supported by rate-cut bets and safe-haven demand amid softer US labor data. In contrast, crude oil prices faced renewed downside as oversupply fears, inventory builds, and weaker momentum weighed. Natural gas has held firm above technical support, showing relative resilience compared to oil.
• Crypto & Alternatives: Bitcoin experienced a sharp 30% decline, but base case support remains amid ongoing volatility. Gold and Bitcoin continue to be discussed as alternatives to stocks for portfolio diversification.
• Macro & Global Headlines: Attention focused on the potential for a Ukraine-Russia peace deal, Fed leadership changes before year-end, and broader concerns about aging demographics impacting long-term global growth. Asian and European markets were subdued despite the US rally, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures softening amid cautious profit-taking.

News Conclusion

• US markets saw a powerful tech-led recovery bolstered by AI sector optimism and renewed rate-cut hopes, though underlying sentiment remains fragile as traders anticipate major US data and a divided Fed meeting in December.
• Metals outperformed energy, with gold and silver rising on dovish central bank signals, while oil faced heightened oversupply concerns and bearish technical pressure heading into 2026.
• Volatility persists across risk assets, particularly in crypto and tech stocks, as market attention turns to policy signals and critical economic releases.
• Globally, caution dominates, with Europe and Asia lagging the US rally and macro headwinds—such as demographic shifts and geopolitical developments—lingering in the background.

Market News Sentiment:

Market News Articles: 49

• Positive: 48.98%
• Neutral: 40.82%
• Negative: 10.20%

Sentiment Summary: Out of 49 market news articles, approximately 49% reflected a positive sentiment, around 41% were neutral, and about 10% indicated a negative sentiment.

Conclusion: The current market news landscape is characterized by a predominance of positive and neutral sentiment, with a smaller proportion of negative articles.

GLD,Gold Articles: 13

• Neutral: 46.15%
• Positive: 46.15%
• Negative: 7.69%

Sentiment Summary: Coverage on GLD and gold shows a nearly balanced split between neutral (46.15%) and positive (46.15%) sentiment, with a minor proportion of articles (7.69%) reflecting a negative view.

This distribution indicates that recent news has been generally steady to slightly optimistic, with limited negative press.

USO,Oil Articles: 8

• Neutral: 37.50%
• Negative: 37.50%
• Positive: 25.00%

Sentiment Summary: Market news sentiment for USO and oil is roughly balanced, with neutral and negative articles each making up 37.5% of coverage, while positive sentiment accounts for 25%.

This indicates a mixed outlook in recent reporting, with cautious to slightly negative undertones.

Market Data Snapshot

ETF Snapshot of major stock market ETFs, Mag7, and others as of: November 25, 2025 07:16

• TSLA 417.78 Bullish 6.82%
• GOOG 318.47 Bullish 6.28%
• IBIT 50.57 Bullish 5.42%
• META 613.05 Bullish 3.16%
• QQQ 605.16 Bullish 2.56%
• AMZN 226.06 Bullish 2.43%
• NVDA 182.55 Bullish 2.05%
• IWM 239.90 Bullish 1.83%
• AAPL 275.92 Bullish 1.63%
• USO 70.42 Bullish 1.62%
• GLD 380.20 Bullish 1.58%
• SPY 668.73 Bullish 1.47%
• IJH 64.40 Bullish 1.00%
• TLT 90.01 Bullish 0.57%
• DIA 464.44 Bullish 0.40%
• MSFT 474.00 Bullish 0.40%

Higher Time Frame Analysis

Summary of the current state of US Indices Futures based on higher time-frame (HTF) technical analysis as of: 2025-11-25: 07:16 CT.

US Indices Futures

• ES Strong uptrend, all YSFG/MSFG/WSFG up, price above benchmarks, HH/HL pivots, major support 6525.25, resistance 6953.75, structure favoring continuation unless reversal signals emerge.
• NQ Bullish HTF, YSFG/MSFG/WSFG up, price above SFG levels, weekly pivots trending higher, short/intermediate pivots down on daily, resistance 26,399, support 23,012.50, benchmarks mixed on daily.
• YM Mixed, short/intermediate-term downtrend below MSFG/WSFG NTZ, intermediate/long-term bullish with price above YSFG, support 40779/46091, resistance 48528/47065, volatility elevated, moving averages diverging timeframes.
• EMD Weekly neutral short-term, bullish intermediate/long-term, above NTZ, weekly pivots indicate pause/pullback, daily shows short/intermediate-term downtrend, support 3107–3115, resistance 3300–3523, long-term MAs up.
• RTY Weekly short-term bullish, intermediate neutral, long-term bullish, WSFG/YSFG up, resistance layered 2461–2566, support 2300–2384, daily intermediate-term bearish, long-term MAs up, transitional phase.
• FDAX Weekly short-term neutral, intermediate bearish, long-term bullish, consolidating above NTZ, MSFG down, daily bearish ST/IT with volatile retracement, support 23065/19274, resistance 23740/24891, YSFG up.

Overall State

• Short-Term: Mixed (ES/NQ/RTY bullish, YM/EMD/FDAX bearish/neutral)
• Intermediate-Term: Mixed/Neutral, most indices in corrective/consolidative phase
• Long-Term: Bullish across all indices, YSFG and major long-term benchmarks up

Conclusion

US Indices Futures maintain higher-timeframe bullish structures with uptrends confirmed by YSFG, key long-term moving averages, and swing pivots across ES, NQ, RTY, and FDAX. Short- and intermediate-term trends are more varied: several indices (YM, EMD, RTY, FDAX) are in corrective or consolidative phases, with price action below MSFG/WSFG neutral zones and recent downtrends in short- to intermediate-term pivots. Key supports are defined at prior swing lows and NTZ/F0% levels, while resistance bands align with previous highs and Fib grid levels. Directional correlations favor underlying uptrends with HTF momentum strongest in ES and NQ, while YM, EMD, RTY, and FDAX are leading or lagging through current retracements or consolidations. Elevated volatility and robust volume support fluid but technically-defined environments on all indices.

Note: Intra-day counter-trend pullbacks or retracements may occur, HTF is context for informational usage and market structure. Glossary: Session Fib Grids periods of YSFG:’Yearly’, MSFG:’Monthly’, WSFG:’Weekly’

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Tech Weekly View

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