December 29 2025 Trader Market Radar – NYSE Pre-Market Session

SPY Weekly View

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Holiday Radar

• 2026-01-01 New Year’s Day

Earnings Radar

Monitoring for earnings releases by the Magnificent 7, AI-tech-related firms, and major financial institutions.

No monitored earnings reports are pending in the next 7 days.

For full details visit: Yahoo Earnings Calendar

EcoNews Radar U.S. Events

EcoNews Summary

Tuesday 14:00 – FOMC Meeting Minutes (High Impact)

The release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes is a key event for index futures, as it provides insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, especially regarding interest rates and inflation. Markets typically experience increased volatility in anticipation of any signals about future tightening or easing measures.

Wednesday 08:30 – Unemployment Claims (High Impact)

Weekly Unemployment Claims data is a leading indicator for labor market health and economic momentum. A significant deviation from expectations can cause swift moves in index futures, directly affecting market sentiment about growth and the Fed’s policy path.

EcoNews Conclusion

• Markets are likely to see heightened volatility around the FOMC Meeting Minutes. Momentum and volume may slow leading into Tuesday as traders position ahead of this high-impact event.
• Be aware that Wednesday morning’s Unemployment Claims can further intensify price action, especially if numbers surprise significantly.
• News events clustered around the 10 AM time cycle frequently serve as inflection points for intraday momentum in index futures.

Market News Summary

• Equities: The S&P 500 is coming off an 18% annual gain and has posted at least 10% annual returns for three years running, with optimism persisting for continued gains into 2026. The index reached fresh all-time highs last week, though some caution is emerging regarding concentration risks in mega-cap tech stocks. The Russell 2000 gained 13% in 2025, lagging larger indices, but finished the year positively. U.S. futures began the week flat to slightly higher; European markets also opened the final 2025 trading days in muted fashion, reflecting holiday season activity and end-of-year positioning.
• Small Caps and Index Structure: While small caps rallied, the broad U.S. market remains top-heavy with over a third of S&P 500 weight held in seven technology giants. Some market watchers note this raises asymmetrical risks, drawing parallels to late-cycle conditions.
• Commodities: Gold hit record highs, then faced profit-taking and heightened volatility on thin volume, with both gold and silver breaking out on technicals but encountering pullbacks to key support. Ongoing safe-haven demand, macroeconomic risks, and expectations for easier Fed policy are supporting prices, though immediate-term corrections are underway. Oil prices rose modestly on geopolitical tensions—particularly in the Middle East and between the U.S. and Venezuela—but supply surplus concerns and expectations for Saudi price cuts are capping further gains.
• Macro Drivers & Central Banks: Markets await fresh signals from the upcoming Fed meeting minutes, housing, and manufacturing data. Concerns persist over central bank independence amid U.S. political developments. Goldman Sachs forecasts U.S. GDP growth will pick up to 2.6% in 2026 due to supportive fiscal and monetary policy changes. Globally, Dutch pension funds’ reforms will enable higher risk-taking starting next year, which could influence asset allocation.
• Other Markets: Cryptocurrencies outperformed on Monday following a volatile Q4. Natural gas and oil prices are mixed, with demand optimism in Asia battling against bearish supply outlooks. U.S. tariff-driven inflation is seen contributing to job market resilience via lower layoffs.

News Conclusion

• Equity markets closed 2025 with strong performance, particularly in large-cap indices, while small caps delivered positive but lesser gains. Heading into 2026, sentiment remains optimistic, although some investors are cautious about increasing market concentration.
• Commodities are experiencing volatility: gold and silver are benefiting from macro and technical factors, while oil prices are balancing geopolitical risk against oversupply headwinds.
• Central bank policy and geopolitical developments continue to shape market direction, with upcoming U.S. economic data and Fed signals in focus as traders position for the new year.
• Structural changes such as Dutch pension reforms and lingering uncertainties around Fed independence add further elements for markets to digest as 2026 begins.

Market News Sentiment:

Market News Articles: 22

• Neutral: 54.55%
• Positive: 31.82%
• Negative: 13.64%

Sentiment Summary:
Out of 22 market news articles, the majority (54.55%) present a neutral sentiment. Positive sentiment makes up 31.82% of coverage, while negative sentiment accounts for 13.64%.

Conclusion:
The current news sentiment is largely neutral, with a notable portion of positive coverage and a smaller share of negative reports.

GLD,Gold Articles: 6

• Neutral: 83.33%
• Negative: 16.67%

Sentiment Summary: The majority of recent articles on GLD and gold are neutral (83.33%), with a smaller portion reflecting negative sentiment (16.67%).

Conclusion: Current market news sentiment for GLD and gold is predominantly neutral, with limited negative commentary.

USO,Oil Articles: 5

• Neutral: 60.00%
• Positive: 40.00%

Sentiment Summary: The majority of recent USO/Oil-related articles have a neutral tone (60%), with the remaining 40% reflecting a positive sentiment.

This indicates that current news coverage on USO and oil is generally balanced, with a slight lean towards neutral sentiment.

Market Data Snapshot

ETF Snapshot of major stock market ETFs, Mag7, and others as of: December 29, 2025 07:16

• GLD 416.74 Bullish 1.17%
• NVDA 190.53 Bullish 1.02%
• IBIT 49.61 Bullish 0.30%
• AMZN 232.52 Bullish 0.06%
• IJH 67.33 Bullish 0.01%
• DIA 487.03 Bullish 0.00%
• QQQ 623.89 Bearish -0.01%
• SPY 690.31 Bearish -0.01%
• MSFT 487.71 Bearish -0.06%
• AAPL 273.40 Bearish -0.15%
• GOOG 314.96 Bearish -0.22%
• TLT 87.74 Bearish -0.33%
• IWM 251.42 Bearish -0.51%
• META 663.29 Bearish -0.64%
• TSLA 475.19 Bearish -2.10%
• USO 68.48 Bearish -2.45%

Higher Time Frame Analysis

Summary of the current state of US Indices Futures based on higher time-frame (HTF) technical analysis as of: 2025-12-29: 07:16 CT.

US Indices Futures

• ES Uptrend on YSFG/MSFG, WSFG trend down, short-term pullback below weekly NTZ, bullish structure above 20/55/100W MAs, pivot high 7013.50, key support 6780.54.
• NQ YSFG/MSFG uptrend, WSFG down, price below weekly NTZ, pivots up, key resistance 26,655.50, support 21,613/20,665, consolidation within broader uptrend, volatility moderate.
• YM YSFG/MSFG uptrend, WSFG trend down, price below weekly NTZ, all MAs rising, swing pivot up at 48,952, support at 48,132, resistance 49,308, short-term consolidation phase.
• EMD YSFG/MSFG uptrend, WSFG down, price below weekly NTZ, all MAs trending up, pivot high 3,437.8, support 3,133.2, short-term range, bullish on intermediate/long-term.
• RTY YSFG/MSFG uptrend, WSFG down, price below weekly NTZ, swing pivot up at 2,543.3, support 2,474.3/2,210.0, resistance 2,580.4/2,626.3, high timeframe strength, short-term consolidation.
• FDAX YSFG/MSFG uptrend, WSFG down, price below weekly NTZ, all but 100-day MA up, pivot high 24,660, resistance 24,660/25,061, support 24,194/24,088/23,133, transition phase.

Overall State

• Short-Term: Neutral
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish
• Long-Term: Bullish

Conclusion

US Indices Futures are displaying intermediate- and long-term bullish structures upheld by YSFG/MSFG uptrends, higher lows, and upward moving averages. Short-term WSFG is down across major indices, with price below weekly NTZ zones, indicating ongoing or potential corrective/consolidation phases beneath recent swing highs. Major moving averages provide lower support benchmarks. Consolidation and minor pullbacks are present, but overall HTF context maintains bullish trends unless support levels or intermediate pivots are breached. Correlation is strong among indices, all reflecting similar HTF transitions and consolidations against high timeframe uptrends.

Note: Intra-day counter-trend pullbacks or retracements may occur, HTF is context for informational usage and market structure. Glossary: Session Fib Grids periods of YSFG:’Yearly’, MSFG:’Monthly’, WSFG:’Weekly’

For full details visit: AlphaWebTrader Technicals

Tech Weekly View

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