Ten years ago, a practical market-moving calendar could be reduced to employment, retail sales, GDP, personal income, Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions and Wednesday's crude-oil inventory report. Those releases still matter. What has changed is the hierarchy—and the speed at which markets connect inflation, employment, interest rates, government financing, energy, … [Read more...] about What Moves Markets in 2026? The Economic Events Traders Watch
Employment REport
Fed Rate Hike Is Now Firmly Priced In: CPI, Employment and Treasury Yields Tell a Different Story
A September Federal Reserve rate hike is now firmly priced into financial markets, although the FOMC has not yet announced its decision. Short-term Treasury yields have already moved above the Federal Reserve’s current target range, while rate futures indicate a high probability of a 25-basis-point increase at the September 15–16 meeting. This distinction matters. Higher … [Read more...] about Fed Rate Hike Is Now Firmly Priced In: CPI, Employment and Treasury Yields Tell a Different Story
Employment Report June 2026: Numerical and Monetary Analysis of the U.S. Labor Market
The June 2026 Employment Report needs to be analyzed from two different but closely connected perspectives: the number of people employed and the real purchasing power generated by their earnings. Employment Must Be Analyzed in Both Numerical and Monetary Terms Employment is one of the fundamental pillars supporting the economic system and financial markets. However, … [Read more...] about Employment Report June 2026: Numerical and Monetary Analysis of the U.S. Labor Market
Employment Report April 2026: Real Earnings, Tariffs, CPI Pressure, and Fed Risk
Employment Report April 2026: Real earnings, labor-force weakness, tariffs, CPI pressure, and the risk of a policy mistake. Employment Report April 2026: A Warning Bell for the System The April employment data shows a clear negative signal beneath the surface. The policy of expulsions is now reflected in employment data, with the number of employed workers … [Read more...] about Employment Report April 2026: Real Earnings, Tariffs, CPI Pressure, and Fed Risk
March 2026 Eco-Employment Report: Real Weekly Earnings Are Losing Ground as Inflation Surges
The March 2026 eco-employment report sends a clear message: inflation is now eroding real weekly earnings across large parts of the US economy, and that shift is likely to shape consumer behavior, market sentiment, and short-term trading conditions in the weeks ahead. Real Weekly Earnings Matter More Than Annual Averages In practical terms, employed households … [Read more...] about March 2026 Eco-Employment Report: Real Weekly Earnings Are Losing Ground as Inflation Surges