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2026 March CPI, Real Earnings Resilience, and the Market’s Iran Risk Problem

April 10, 2026 by EcoFin

Friday's CPI data did not change the core conclusion: the wage and weekly earnings system still appears resilient in real terms, even after a sharp inflation shock. The larger risk for markets remains the instability surrounding Iran, oil, and the Strait of Hormuz. March CPI came in hot, but not above the break-even threshold The March CPI report was stronger … [Read more...] about 2026 March CPI, Real Earnings Resilience, and the Market’s Iran Risk Problem

Latest CPI Report, Energy Prices, and Fiscal Pressure: A Market Sentiment Overview as of March 2026

March 18, 2026 by EcoFin

Updated for the latest U.S. CPI release available as of March 19, 2026 Latest CPI Snapshot: February 2026 As of March 19, 2026, the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index report is the February 2026 release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on March 11, 2026. Headline CPI rose 2.4% year over year, unchanged from January, while core CPI, excluding … [Read more...] about Latest CPI Report, Energy Prices, and Fiscal Pressure: A Market Sentiment Overview as of March 2026

Are Oil Companies Really Driving Gasoline Inflation in 2026?

March 18, 2026 by EcoFin

A data-driven look at pump prices, crude oil costs, and the overlooked role of taxes and distribution Oil companies are often portrayed as one of the clearest symbols of “greedy capitalism.” However, a closer examination of the 2026 energy crisis data suggests a more nuanced reality. While gasoline prices have surged, the underlying cost … [Read more...] about Are Oil Companies Really Driving Gasoline Inflation in 2026?

OIL “Roller Coaster” — Two Long-Term Sentiments Shaping Markets

March 16, 2026 by EcoFin

General considerations on crude oil volatility, inflation pressure, and financial market behavior The current behavior of crude oil (CL) prices — characterized by sharp swings and persistent volatility — offers a powerful lens through which to understand the underlying sentiments likely to dominate markets over the medium to long term. Both … [Read more...] about OIL “Roller Coaster” — Two Long-Term Sentiments Shaping Markets

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