Global energy markets are entering a phase of extreme divergence. While crude oil prices remain highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions—particularly around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz—liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets are showing unexpected weakness driven by collapsing demand. Oil Markets: Geopolitics Driving Volatility Crude oil prices have … [Read more...] about Energy Markets on Edge: Oil Volatility, LNG Weakness, and the Iran Risk Premium ceasefire deadlines approaching
straits of hormuz
2026 March CPI, Real Earnings Resilience, and the Market’s Iran Risk Problem
Friday's CPI data did not change the core conclusion: the wage and weekly earnings system still appears resilient in real terms, even after a sharp inflation shock. The larger risk for markets remains the instability surrounding Iran, oil, and the Strait of Hormuz. March CPI came in hot, but not above the break-even threshold The March CPI report was stronger … [Read more...] about 2026 March CPI, Real Earnings Resilience, and the Market’s Iran Risk Problem
OIL “Roller Coaster” — Two Long-Term Sentiments Shaping Markets
General considerations on crude oil volatility, inflation pressure, and financial market behavior The current behavior of crude oil (CL) prices — characterized by sharp swings and persistent volatility — offers a powerful lens through which to understand the underlying sentiments likely to dominate markets over the medium to long term. Both … [Read more...] about OIL “Roller Coaster” — Two Long-Term Sentiments Shaping Markets