The dominant media story was a divided Federal Reserve, three dissents and a chairman offering few answers. That framing misses the substance of the July decision. The Fed held rates steady because commodity-driven inflation, already-restrictive market yields and fragile real purchasing power require more judgment than an automatic rate increase. Much of the post-meeting … [Read more...] about The Warsh Fed Gave More Answers Than the Media Admits: What It Communicated and What Markets Said
Financial Markets
July 2026 Inflation Monitor: Fuel Prices Ease but Mortgage Rates Remain Elevated
Data through July 20, 2026: The first three weeks of July indicate that immediate inflationary pressure remains broadly contained, although the renewed rise in retail fuel prices and persistently high mortgage rates require close monitoring. Early July Inflation Overview The first three weeks of July 2026 do not yet point to a significant new acceleration in inflation from … [Read more...] about July 2026 Inflation Monitor: Fuel Prices Ease but Mortgage Rates Remain Elevated
Frankfurter bonds! How is trade between large companies financed?
Frankfurter Bonds Explained: The Modern Repackaging of Corporate Trade Credit “Frankfurter bonds” is working financial slang rather than an official security classification. It describes a modern chain of corporate financing in which deferred invoices are discounted by banks or other intermediaries, pooled and potentially repackaged for investors. What Are “Frankfurter … [Read more...] about Frankfurter bonds! How is trade between large companies financed?
Yield Curve Outlook June 2026: What Rising Long-Term Yields Mean for Markets and the Economy
The global yield curve environment has changed significantly. The deep inversions that dominated financial markets during the previous monetary tightening cycle have largely eased, but long-term borrowing costs remain high. As of mid-June 2026, the central issue is no longer simply whether yield curves are inverted. Investors, businesses and policymakers must now determine why … [Read more...] about Yield Curve Outlook June 2026: What Rising Long-Term Yields Mean for Markets and the Economy