Weak payrolls and stagnant real wages argue against another interest-rate increase, while oil, producer prices and geopolitical risk prevent the Federal Reserve from declaring victory over inflation. The most credible policy is a disciplined pause—not a return to Bernanke-era quantitative easing. Research and forecast information updated August 13, 2026, before the July … [Read more...] about Fed Rate Pause or Hike? July CPI, Jobs, PPI and Oil Risks Point to a Better Policy Path
Strait of Hormuz
Trading Week Ahead: Fed Decision, Big Tech Earnings, PCE Inflation and Oil Risk
July 27–31, 2026: The Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon, U.S. GDP and PCE inflation, three major central-bank meetings, Middle East oil risk and end-of-month options expiry converge in one unusually dense trading week. The final week of July begins with a relief move in global risk assets after a pause in U.S.-Iran hostilities pushed crude oil sharply lower. … [Read more...] about Trading Week Ahead: Fed Decision, Big Tech Earnings, PCE Inflation and Oil Risk